The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages has become the dominant catalyst pushing the 200-hour-plus outcome to a 68.5% market-implied probability. Three units have now exceeded 50 hours of continuous autonomous operation at human parity speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far surpassing the original eight-hour target with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous stress testing, has bolstered trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures. Lingering uncertainty around gripper wear and battery-swap logistics sustains the 100-200-hour bracket at 22%, with the May 21 resolution hinging on whether the uninterrupted stream can extend without mechanical or system interruption.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPor quanto tempo os robôs F.03 da Figure funcionarão sem falhas?
Por quanto tempo os robôs F.03 da Figure funcionarão sem falhas?
200h+ 69%
100-200h 21%
50-100h 9%
$68,981 Vol.
$68,981 Vol.
21 mai 2026
50-100h
9%
100-200h
21%
200h+
69%
200h+ 69%
100-200h 21%
50-100h 9%
$68,981 Vol.
$68,981 Vol.
21 mai 2026
50-100h
$3,954 Vol.
9%
100-200h
$2,628 Vol.
21%
200h+
$10,594 Vol.
69%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages has become the dominant catalyst pushing the 200-hour-plus outcome to a 68.5% market-implied probability. Three units have now exceeded 50 hours of continuous autonomous operation at human parity speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far surpassing the original eight-hour target with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous stress testing, has bolstered trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures. Lingering uncertainty around gripper wear and battery-swap logistics sustains the 100-200-hour bracket at 22%, with the May 21 resolution hinging on whether the uninterrupted stream can extend without mechanical or system interruption.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$68,981Data de Término
21 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages has become the dominant catalyst pushing the 200-hour-plus outcome to a 68.5% market-implied probability. Three units have now exceeded 50 hours of continuous autonomous operation at human parity speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far surpassing the original eight-hour target with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous stress testing, has bolstered trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures. Lingering uncertainty around gripper wear and battery-swap logistics sustains the 100-200-hour bracket at 22%, with the May 21 resolution hinging on whether the uninterrupted stream can extend without mechanical or system interruption.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68,981Data de Término
21 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages has become the dominant catalyst pushing the 200-hour-plus outcome to a 68.5% market-implied probability. Three units have now exceeded 50 hours of continuous autonomous operation at human parity speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far surpassing the original eight-hour target with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous stress testing, has bolstered trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures. Lingering uncertainty around gripper wear and battery-swap logistics sustains the 100-200-hour bracket at 22%, with the May 21 resolution hinging on whether the uninterrupted stream can extend without mechanical or system interruption.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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