Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election project Likud at 18–23 seats, well below its 32 seats from the 2022 vote that formed the current coalition. Multiple surveys from Channel 13, Kantar, Midgam, and others place the party behind Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar (often 22–24 seats) while the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc hovers near 50–54 seats, short of a majority. This sustained downward trend for Likud, coupled with the rise of centrist and other right-leaning challengers, underpins the strong trader consensus that the party will lose seats. No recent polling reversal has altered this pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado94% chance
$18,109 Vol.
$18,109 Vol.
26 out 2026
94% chance
$18,109 Vol.
$18,109 Vol.
26 out 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election project Likud at 18–23 seats, well below its 32 seats from the 2022 vote that formed the current coalition. Multiple surveys from Channel 13, Kantar, Midgam, and others place the party behind Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar (often 22–24 seats) while the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc hovers near 50–54 seats, short of a majority. This sustained downward trend for Likud, coupled with the rise of centrist and other right-leaning challengers, underpins the strong trader consensus that the party will lose seats. No recent polling reversal has altered this pattern.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$18,109Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election project Likud at 18–23 seats, well below its 32 seats from the 2022 vote that formed the current coalition. Multiple surveys from Channel 13, Kantar, Midgam, and others place the party behind Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar (often 22–24 seats) while the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc hovers near 50–54 seats, short of a majority. This sustained downward trend for Likud, coupled with the rise of centrist and other right-leaning challengers, underpins the strong trader consensus that the party will lose seats. No recent polling reversal has altered this pattern.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$18,109Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election project Likud at 18–23 seats, well below its 32 seats from the 2022 vote that formed the current coalition. Multiple surveys from Channel 13, Kantar, Midgam, and others place the party behind Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar (often 22–24 seats) while the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc hovers near 50–54 seats, short of a majority. This sustained downward trend for Likud, coupled with the rise of centrist and other right-leaning challengers, underpins the strong trader consensus that the party will lose seats. No recent polling reversal has altered this pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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