Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam near 12–15°C for August 25, driven by moderate easterly flow, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and absence of strong cold-air advection. This positions 11–13°C as the tightest cluster of trader-implied odds, reflecting minor differences in predicted minimum timing and urban versus airport station readings. Historical August lows average around 12–14°C, with recent model runs showing limited spread absent major synoptic changes. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow resolution around thresholds like 12°C or 13°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 25 de agosto?
9°C or below 65%
19°C ou mais 64%
11°C 38%
12°C 34%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
9°C or below
65%
10°C
14%
11°C
38%
12°C
34%
13°C
34%
14°C
28%
15°C
31%
16°C
10%
17°C
13%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou mais
64%
9°C or below 65%
19°C ou mais 64%
11°C 38%
12°C 34%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
9°C or below
$65 Vol.
65%
10°C
$150 Vol.
14%
11°C
$0 Vol.
38%
12°C
$0 Vol.
34%
13°C
$0 Vol.
34%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$0 Vol.
10%
17°C
$112 Vol.
13%
18°C
$622 Vol.
<1%
19°C ou mais
$145 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam near 12–15°C for August 25, driven by moderate easterly flow, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and absence of strong cold-air advection. This positions 11–13°C as the tightest cluster of trader-implied odds, reflecting minor differences in predicted minimum timing and urban versus airport station readings. Historical August lows average around 12–14°C, with recent model runs showing limited spread absent major synoptic changes. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow resolution around thresholds like 12°C or 13°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,094Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam near 12–15°C for August 25, driven by moderate easterly flow, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and absence of strong cold-air advection. This positions 11–13°C as the tightest cluster of trader-implied odds, reflecting minor differences in predicted minimum timing and urban versus airport station readings. Historical August lows average around 12–14°C, with recent model runs showing limited spread absent major synoptic changes. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow resolution around thresholds like 12°C or 13°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,094Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam near 12–15°C for August 25, driven by moderate easterly flow, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and absence of strong cold-air advection. This positions 11–13°C as the tightest cluster of trader-implied odds, reflecting minor differences in predicted minimum timing and urban versus airport station readings. Historical August lows average around 12–14°C, with recent model runs showing limited spread absent major synoptic changes. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow resolution around thresholds like 12°C or 13°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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