Recent ensemble forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 14–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This consensus supports the near-even market split between the 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher outcomes, as small shifts in dew-point depression, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat-island effects could push the minimum either direction. The next 12–24 hours of updated model runs and observational data from Turkish meteorological stations will refine the precise threshold probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Ancara em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Ancara em 14 de setembro?
12°C ou menos 100%
22°C ou mais 98%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
12°C ou menos
100%
13°C
37%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C
37%
20°C
38%
21°C
37%
22°C ou mais
98%
12°C ou menos 100%
22°C ou mais 98%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
100%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
37%
18°C
$0 Vol.
37%
19°C
$0 Vol.
37%
20°C
$0 Vol.
38%
21°C
$0 Vol.
37%
22°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 14–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This consensus supports the near-even market split between the 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher outcomes, as small shifts in dew-point depression, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat-island effects could push the minimum either direction. The next 12–24 hours of updated model runs and observational data from Turkish meteorological stations will refine the precise threshold probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 14–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This consensus supports the near-even market split between the 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher outcomes, as small shifts in dew-point depression, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat-island effects could push the minimum either direction. The next 12–24 hours of updated model runs and observational data from Turkish meteorological stations will refine the precise threshold probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 14–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This consensus supports the near-even market split between the 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher outcomes, as small shifts in dew-point depression, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat-island effects could push the minimum either direction. The next 12–24 hours of updated model runs and observational data from Turkish meteorological stations will refine the precise threshold probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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