Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a sharp cooling trend in Chengdu driven by persistent rainfall, thunderstorms, and strengthening northerly winds associated with a cold air intrusion. These conditions, peaking overnight into September 9, favor minimum temperatures clustering near 18–21°C as cloud cover and evaporative cooling suppress radiative warming. Ensemble guidance shows tight agreement on this range due to the basin's topography trapping moisture, though slight variations in rainfall timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average around 20°C, providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and local observations in the final hours before resolution will determine the precise value traders are pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 9 de setembro?
21°C 32%
20°C 27%
19°C 26%
22°C 26%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
16°C ou menos
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
25%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
32%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C ou mais
1%
21°C 32%
20°C 27%
19°C 26%
22°C 26%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$25 Vol.
3%
17°C
$37 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
25%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
32%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$10 Vol.
5%
25°C
$150 Vol.
1%
26°C ou mais
$80 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a sharp cooling trend in Chengdu driven by persistent rainfall, thunderstorms, and strengthening northerly winds associated with a cold air intrusion. These conditions, peaking overnight into September 9, favor minimum temperatures clustering near 18–21°C as cloud cover and evaporative cooling suppress radiative warming. Ensemble guidance shows tight agreement on this range due to the basin's topography trapping moisture, though slight variations in rainfall timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average around 20°C, providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and local observations in the final hours before resolution will determine the precise value traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$301Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a sharp cooling trend in Chengdu driven by persistent rainfall, thunderstorms, and strengthening northerly winds associated with a cold air intrusion. These conditions, peaking overnight into September 9, favor minimum temperatures clustering near 18–21°C as cloud cover and evaporative cooling suppress radiative warming. Ensemble guidance shows tight agreement on this range due to the basin's topography trapping moisture, though slight variations in rainfall timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average around 20°C, providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and local observations in the final hours before resolution will determine the precise value traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$301Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a sharp cooling trend in Chengdu driven by persistent rainfall, thunderstorms, and strengthening northerly winds associated with a cold air intrusion. These conditions, peaking overnight into September 9, favor minimum temperatures clustering near 18–21°C as cloud cover and evaporative cooling suppress radiative warming. Ensemble guidance shows tight agreement on this range due to the basin's topography trapping moisture, though slight variations in rainfall timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average around 20°C, providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and local observations in the final hours before resolution will determine the precise value traders are pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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