Recent weather model consensus points to minimum temperatures of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 7, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover from lingering monsoon moisture, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for early September in the region, align with climatological averages near 24.8°C while allowing for slight deviations based on exact timing of any showers or clearer breaks overnight. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because ensemble forecasts show modest spread in low-level moisture and wind fields, with lower-probability colder outcomes reflecting historical extremes or potential model underestimation of clearing skies. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou no dia 7 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou no dia 7 de setembro?
20°C ou menos 59%
23°C 49%
25°C 34%
26°C 30%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
20°C ou menos
59%
21°C
19%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
34%
26°C
30%
27°C
17%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C ou mais
26%
20°C ou menos 59%
23°C 49%
25°C 34%
26°C 30%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
59%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
20%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
17%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to minimum temperatures of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 7, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover from lingering monsoon moisture, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for early September in the region, align with climatological averages near 24.8°C while allowing for slight deviations based on exact timing of any showers or clearer breaks overnight. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because ensemble forecasts show modest spread in low-level moisture and wind fields, with lower-probability colder outcomes reflecting historical extremes or potential model underestimation of clearing skies. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to minimum temperatures of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 7, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover from lingering monsoon moisture, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for early September in the region, align with climatological averages near 24.8°C while allowing for slight deviations based on exact timing of any showers or clearer breaks overnight. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because ensemble forecasts show modest spread in low-level moisture and wind fields, with lower-probability colder outcomes reflecting historical extremes or potential model underestimation of clearing skies. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus points to minimum temperatures of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 7, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover from lingering monsoon moisture, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for early September in the region, align with climatological averages near 24.8°C while allowing for slight deviations based on exact timing of any showers or clearer breaks overnight. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because ensemble forecasts show modest spread in low-level moisture and wind fields, with lower-probability colder outcomes reflecting historical extremes or potential model underestimation of clearing skies. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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