Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 4 will likely settle near 20–22°C under stable high pressure and light northeasterly winds. Persistent clear to partly cloudy skies promote radiative cooling after daytime highs of 27–29°C, while the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture limits variability. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with traders weighting 19–22°C outcomes most heavily due to the narrow spread in official runs and minimal deviation expected before resolution. Historical early-September climatology supports this range as typical for the region.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 4 de setembro?
19°C 98%
20°C 98%
23°C 98%
21°C 97%
16°C ou menos
59%
17°C
69%
18°C
69%
19°C
98%
20°C
98%
21°C
97%
22°C
51%
23°C
98%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C ou mais
69%
19°C 98%
20°C 98%
23°C 98%
21°C 97%
16°C ou menos
59%
17°C
69%
18°C
69%
19°C
98%
20°C
98%
21°C
97%
22°C
51%
23°C
98%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C ou mais
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 4 will likely settle near 20–22°C under stable high pressure and light northeasterly winds. Persistent clear to partly cloudy skies promote radiative cooling after daytime highs of 27–29°C, while the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture limits variability. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with traders weighting 19–22°C outcomes most heavily due to the narrow spread in official runs and minimal deviation expected before resolution. Historical early-September climatology supports this range as typical for the region.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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