Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 82°F for Miami on August 15, driven by persistent high humidity, dew points in the mid-70s, and light easterly flow under subtropical high pressure that limits overnight radiational cooling. Typical August climatology features lows around 78°F, but the current pattern of elevated moisture and minimal cloud-free windows supports the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with only modest variability from potential scattered showers or slight wind shifts that could nudge readings into the 80-81°F range. Forecasters will issue updated guidance tomorrow morning ahead of the 24-hour minimum period ending at midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 15 de agosto?
82-83°F 55%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 13%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
67°F ou menos
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
44%
84-85°F
13%
86°F ou mais
1%
82-83°F 55%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 13%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
67°F ou menos
$428 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$428 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$553 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$227 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$15 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$127 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$7 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$17 Vol.
33%
82-83°F
$125 Vol.
44%
84-85°F
$29 Vol.
13%
86°F ou mais
$413 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 82°F for Miami on August 15, driven by persistent high humidity, dew points in the mid-70s, and light easterly flow under subtropical high pressure that limits overnight radiational cooling. Typical August climatology features lows around 78°F, but the current pattern of elevated moisture and minimal cloud-free windows supports the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with only modest variability from potential scattered showers or slight wind shifts that could nudge readings into the 80-81°F range. Forecasters will issue updated guidance tomorrow morning ahead of the 24-hour minimum period ending at midnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$2,368Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 82°F for Miami on August 15, driven by persistent high humidity, dew points in the mid-70s, and light easterly flow under subtropical high pressure that limits overnight radiational cooling. Typical August climatology features lows around 78°F, but the current pattern of elevated moisture and minimal cloud-free windows supports the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with only modest variability from potential scattered showers or slight wind shifts that could nudge readings into the 80-81°F range. Forecasters will issue updated guidance tomorrow morning ahead of the 24-hour minimum period ending at midnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,368Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 82°F for Miami on August 15, driven by persistent high humidity, dew points in the mid-70s, and light easterly flow under subtropical high pressure that limits overnight radiational cooling. Typical August climatology features lows around 78°F, but the current pattern of elevated moisture and minimal cloud-free windows supports the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with only modest variability from potential scattered showers or slight wind shifts that could nudge readings into the 80-81°F range. Forecasters will issue updated guidance tomorrow morning ahead of the 24-hour minimum period ending at midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions