Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a low around 18–19°C for Milan on September 15 under clear skies and light easterly winds within a stable high-pressure system, favoring modest overnight radiative cooling. This setup, typical of mid-September anticyclonic conditions over northern Italy, supports the market's near-even odds between sub-14°C and 23°C+ outcomes by highlighting sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture that could alter the minimum by 2–4°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time, with traders weighting official agency guidance on temperature thresholds for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Milão a 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Milão a 15 de setembro?
13°C ou menos 92%
23°C ou mais 91%
14°C 39%
22°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
13°C ou menos
92%
14°C
39%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
21%
18°C
21%
19°C
30%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C
39%
23°C ou mais
91%
13°C ou menos 92%
23°C ou mais 91%
14°C 39%
22°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
13°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
92%
14°C
$10 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
30%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$10 Vol.
39%
23°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a low around 18–19°C for Milan on September 15 under clear skies and light easterly winds within a stable high-pressure system, favoring modest overnight radiative cooling. This setup, typical of mid-September anticyclonic conditions over northern Italy, supports the market's near-even odds between sub-14°C and 23°C+ outcomes by highlighting sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture that could alter the minimum by 2–4°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time, with traders weighting official agency guidance on temperature thresholds for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$40Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a low around 18–19°C for Milan on September 15 under clear skies and light easterly winds within a stable high-pressure system, favoring modest overnight radiative cooling. This setup, typical of mid-September anticyclonic conditions over northern Italy, supports the market's near-even odds between sub-14°C and 23°C+ outcomes by highlighting sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture that could alter the minimum by 2–4°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time, with traders weighting official agency guidance on temperature thresholds for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a low around 18–19°C for Milan on September 15 under clear skies and light easterly winds within a stable high-pressure system, favoring modest overnight radiative cooling. This setup, typical of mid-September anticyclonic conditions over northern Italy, supports the market's near-even odds between sub-14°C and 23°C+ outcomes by highlighting sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture that could alter the minimum by 2–4°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time, with traders weighting official agency guidance on temperature thresholds for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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