Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS point to a minimum near 18–19°C in Milan on September 14 under a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points hovering around 17°C set a floor for the overnight low, while subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact cloud timing, or slight shifts in steering flow could push readings toward 16°C or hold them above 20°C. With outcomes clustered near 30% implied probability, traders are weighting the narrow range of ensemble members and the next model cycles for any adjustment in the Po Valley air mass.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Milão a 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Milão a 14 de setembro?
11°C ou menos 62%
21°C ou mais 62%
14°C 38%
18°C 38%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
11°C ou menos
62%
12°C
15%
13°C
16%
14°C
38%
15°C
37%
16°C
30%
17°C
26%
18°C
38%
19°C
24%
20°C
15%
21°C ou mais
62%
11°C ou menos 62%
21°C ou mais 62%
14°C 38%
18°C 38%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
11°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
62%
12°C
$0 Vol.
15%
13°C
$0 Vol.
16%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
37%
16°C
$0 Vol.
30%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
38%
19°C
$0 Vol.
24%
20°C
$0 Vol.
15%
21°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS point to a minimum near 18–19°C in Milan on September 14 under a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points hovering around 17°C set a floor for the overnight low, while subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact cloud timing, or slight shifts in steering flow could push readings toward 16°C or hold them above 20°C. With outcomes clustered near 30% implied probability, traders are weighting the narrow range of ensemble members and the next model cycles for any adjustment in the Po Valley air mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS point to a minimum near 18–19°C in Milan on September 14 under a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points hovering around 17°C set a floor for the overnight low, while subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact cloud timing, or slight shifts in steering flow could push readings toward 16°C or hold them above 20°C. With outcomes clustered near 30% implied probability, traders are weighting the narrow range of ensemble members and the next model cycles for any adjustment in the Po Valley air mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS point to a minimum near 18–19°C in Milan on September 14 under a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points hovering around 17°C set a floor for the overnight low, while subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact cloud timing, or slight shifts in steering flow could push readings toward 16°C or hold them above 20°C. With outcomes clustered near 30% implied probability, traders are weighting the narrow range of ensemble members and the next model cycles for any adjustment in the Po Valley air mass.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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