Current forecasts from numerical weather prediction models indicate a mild overnight minimum in Paris on September 14 driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Daytime highs near 27°C have maintained a relatively warm air mass, with dew points and humidity supporting lows clustered around 15–17°C rather than sharper drops toward historical September averages near 12°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities (led by 16°C at 30.5% and 15°C at 26.5%) include exact cloud cover overnight, wind speeds above 5 km/h that reduce cooling, and any subtle frontal timing shifts. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 14 de setembro?
17°C 37%
14°C 33%
13°C 32%
18°C 32%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
12°C ou menos
5%
13°C
32%
14°C
33%
15°C
27%
16°C
32%
17°C
37%
18°C
32%
19°C
31%
20°C
8%
21°C
3%
22°C ou mais
3%
17°C 37%
14°C 33%
13°C 32%
18°C 32%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
5%
13°C
$0 Vol.
32%
14°C
$0 Vol.
33%
15°C
$42 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
32%
17°C
$0 Vol.
37%
18°C
$0 Vol.
32%
19°C
$0 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather prediction models indicate a mild overnight minimum in Paris on September 14 driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Daytime highs near 27°C have maintained a relatively warm air mass, with dew points and humidity supporting lows clustered around 15–17°C rather than sharper drops toward historical September averages near 12°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities (led by 16°C at 30.5% and 15°C at 26.5%) include exact cloud cover overnight, wind speeds above 5 km/h that reduce cooling, and any subtle frontal timing shifts. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$42Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather prediction models indicate a mild overnight minimum in Paris on September 14 driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Daytime highs near 27°C have maintained a relatively warm air mass, with dew points and humidity supporting lows clustered around 15–17°C rather than sharper drops toward historical September averages near 12°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities (led by 16°C at 30.5% and 15°C at 26.5%) include exact cloud cover overnight, wind speeds above 5 km/h that reduce cooling, and any subtle frontal timing shifts. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from numerical weather prediction models indicate a mild overnight minimum in Paris on September 14 driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Daytime highs near 27°C have maintained a relatively warm air mass, with dew points and humidity supporting lows clustered around 15–17°C rather than sharper drops toward historical September averages near 12°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities (led by 16°C at 30.5% and 15°C at 26.5%) include exact cloud cover overnight, wind speeds above 5 km/h that reduce cooling, and any subtle frontal timing shifts. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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