Recent model consensus, including GFS guidance, points to an overnight low near 13°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1020 hPa. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 12–13°C, where traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer cooling rates and urban heat retention against the seasonal average low of 11.2°C. Clearer conditions could allow radiational cooling toward 12°C or below, while increased cloud cover or slightly stronger flow would support 13–14°C. Final resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations, with limited model spread leaving room for small adjustments before the minimum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris em 19 de setembro?
13°C 42%
12°C 37%
11°C 14%
14°C 10%
10°C ou menos
1%
11°C
14%
12°C
37%
13°C
42%
14°C
10%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou mais
<1%
13°C 42%
12°C 37%
11°C 14%
14°C 10%
10°C ou menos
1%
11°C
14%
12°C
37%
13°C
42%
14°C
10%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus, including GFS guidance, points to an overnight low near 13°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1020 hPa. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 12–13°C, where traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer cooling rates and urban heat retention against the seasonal average low of 11.2°C. Clearer conditions could allow radiational cooling toward 12°C or below, while increased cloud cover or slightly stronger flow would support 13–14°C. Final resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations, with limited model spread leaving room for small adjustments before the minimum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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