Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul em 15 de maio?
15°C 100.0%
11°C ou menos <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,687 Vol.
$23,687 Vol.
11°C ou menos
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Sim
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C ou mais
Não
15°C 100.0%
11°C ou menos <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,687 Vol.
$23,687 Vol.
11°C ou menos
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Sim
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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