Recent European model runs and observational data indicate Warsaw's August 28 minimum temperature will likely fall in the mid-teens Celsius amid a transitional high-pressure regime following cooler late-August patterns. Forecast ensembles show overnight lows near 14–18 °C under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation reducing radiative cooling variability. Subtle differences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance on the strength and timing of an approaching trough create the tight spread across temperature bins, while historical late-summer climatology for Warsaw centers around 15 °C. Updated model cycles and any overnight observational adjustments from Polish meteorological services will be key near-term catalysts ahead of market resolution.