Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Wuhan's overnight minimum on August 25 will likely settle between 26–29 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 27–28 °C outcomes. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, elevated humidity levels near 70–85 % reduce nocturnal radiative cooling, while light northeast winds of 4–8 mph promote boundary-layer mixing that prevents sharper temperature drops. Partly cloudy skies further moderate heat loss compared with clear conditions. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing and urban heat-island retention, creating the observed spread across adjacent brackets while keeping probabilities for extremes below 15 %. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–18 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 25 de agosto?
28°C 34%
33°C or higher 29%
27°C 27%
26°C 26%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
23°C or below
8%
24°C
13%
25°C
24%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
34%
29°C
26%
30°C
25%
31°C
<1%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
29%
28°C 34%
33°C or higher 29%
27°C 27%
26°C 26%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
23°C or below
$145 Vol.
8%
24°C
$97 Vol.
13%
25°C
$206 Vol.
24%
26°C
$26 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
34%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$5 Vol.
25%
31°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$135 Vol.
7%
33°C or higher
$145 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Wuhan's overnight minimum on August 25 will likely settle between 26–29 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 27–28 °C outcomes. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, elevated humidity levels near 70–85 % reduce nocturnal radiative cooling, while light northeast winds of 4–8 mph promote boundary-layer mixing that prevents sharper temperature drops. Partly cloudy skies further moderate heat loss compared with clear conditions. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing and urban heat-island retention, creating the observed spread across adjacent brackets while keeping probabilities for extremes below 15 %. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–18 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$769Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Wuhan's overnight minimum on August 25 will likely settle between 26–29 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 27–28 °C outcomes. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, elevated humidity levels near 70–85 % reduce nocturnal radiative cooling, while light northeast winds of 4–8 mph promote boundary-layer mixing that prevents sharper temperature drops. Partly cloudy skies further moderate heat loss compared with clear conditions. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing and urban heat-island retention, creating the observed spread across adjacent brackets while keeping probabilities for extremes below 15 %. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–18 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$769Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Wuhan's overnight minimum on August 25 will likely settle between 26–29 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 27–28 °C outcomes. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, elevated humidity levels near 70–85 % reduce nocturnal radiative cooling, while light northeast winds of 4–8 mph promote boundary-layer mixing that prevents sharper temperature drops. Partly cloudy skies further moderate heat loss compared with clear conditions. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing and urban heat-island retention, creating the observed spread across adjacent brackets while keeping probabilities for extremes below 15 %. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–18 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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