Recent polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, has placed Restore Britain between 7% and 13%, reflecting the new party’s limited national profile and first parliamentary contest since its February 2026 launch. Rivalry with Reform UK has split right-wing support, with Survation and constituency surveys showing Reform UK candidates ahead while Restore Britain’s share remains modest despite targeted local campaigning on issues such as anti-social behaviour and immigration. Traders appear to weigh these results, the party’s brief organisational history, and competition from established right-wing options more heavily than internal canvassing claims, producing consensus that Restore Britain is unlikely to clear 10% on polling day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição parcial de Makerfield: Restaurar a Grã-Bretanha recebe 10%+?
Eleição parcial de Makerfield: Restaurar a Grã-Bretanha recebe 10%+?
Sim
$18,882 Vol.
$18,882 Vol.
18 jun 2026
Sim
$18,882 Vol.
$18,882 Vol.
18 jun 2026
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, has placed Restore Britain between 7% and 13%, reflecting the new party’s limited national profile and first parliamentary contest since its February 2026 launch. Rivalry with Reform UK has split right-wing support, with Survation and constituency surveys showing Reform UK candidates ahead while Restore Britain’s share remains modest despite targeted local campaigning on issues such as anti-social behaviour and immigration. Traders appear to weigh these results, the party’s brief organisational history, and competition from established right-wing options more heavily than internal canvassing claims, producing consensus that Restore Britain is unlikely to clear 10% on polling day.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volume
$18,882Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, has placed Restore Britain between 7% and 13%, reflecting the new party’s limited national profile and first parliamentary contest since its February 2026 launch. Rivalry with Reform UK has split right-wing support, with Survation and constituency surveys showing Reform UK candidates ahead while Restore Britain’s share remains modest despite targeted local campaigning on issues such as anti-social behaviour and immigration. Traders appear to weigh these results, the party’s brief organisational history, and competition from established right-wing options more heavily than internal canvassing claims, producing consensus that Restore Britain is unlikely to clear 10% on polling day.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$18,882Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, has placed Restore Britain between 7% and 13%, reflecting the new party’s limited national profile and first parliamentary contest since its February 2026 launch. Rivalry with Reform UK has split right-wing support, with Survation and constituency surveys showing Reform UK candidates ahead while Restore Britain’s share remains modest despite targeted local campaigning on issues such as anti-social behaviour and immigration. Traders appear to weigh these results, the party’s brief organisational history, and competition from established right-wing options more heavily than internal canvassing claims, producing consensus that Restore Britain is unlikely to clear 10% on polling day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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