Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Name: Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Start: 2026-05-21T17:55:26.961Z
End: 2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z

Robert Kenyon 82%

Andy Burnham 6.9%

Rebecca Shepherd 5.5%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

$56,354 Vol.

18 jun 2026

Robert Kenyon

$4,401 Vol.

82%

Andy Burnham

$2,687 Vol.

Rebecca Shepherd

$45,062 Vol.

Simon Finkelstein

$1,369 Vol.

<1%

John Skipworth

$1,074 Vol.

<1%

Maria Deery

$740 Vol.

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$1,021 Vol.

<1%

Robert Kenyon 82%

Andy Burnham 6.9%

Rebecca Shepherd 5.5%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

$56,354 Vol.

18 jun 2026

Robert Kenyon

$4,401 Vol.

82%

Andy Burnham

$2,687 Vol.

Rebecca Shepherd

$45,062 Vol.

Simon Finkelstein

$1,369 Vol.

<1%

John Skipworth

$1,074 Vol.

<1%

Maria Deery

$740 Vol.

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$1,021 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Robert Kenyon" at 82%, followed by "Andy Burnham" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" has generated $56.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" is "Robert Kenyon" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andy Burnham" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $56.4K traded on “Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 82¢ for "Robert Kenyon" in the "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 82% chance that "Robert Kenyon" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 82¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 18¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 18, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

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Frequently Asked Questions

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