Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in New York since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas on narco-terrorism and narcotics charges. Acting Venezuelan authorities under Delcy Rodríguez have repeatedly demanded his immediate release, framing the detention as a political matter while overseeing domestic prisoner amnesties and international diplomatic appeals. The ongoing federal prosecution in the Southern District of New York, including potential procedural challenges over the seizure and transfer, continues to shape assessments of any near-term release. Scheduled court proceedings and bilateral U.S.-Venezuela talks represent the primary near-term catalysts that could influence trader views on timing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$2,631,427 Vol.
31 jan 2026
31 de dezembro
13%
$2,631,427 Vol.
31 de dezembro
$235,978 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in New York since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas on narco-terrorism and narcotics charges. Acting Venezuelan authorities under Delcy Rodríguez have repeatedly demanded his immediate release, framing the detention as a political matter while overseeing domestic prisoner amnesties and international diplomatic appeals. The ongoing federal prosecution in the Southern District of New York, including potential procedural challenges over the seizure and transfer, continues to shape assessments of any near-term release. Scheduled court proceedings and bilateral U.S.-Venezuela talks represent the primary near-term catalysts that could influence trader views on timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volume
$2,631,427Data de Término
31 jan 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in New York since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas on narco-terrorism and narcotics charges. Acting Venezuelan authorities under Delcy Rodríguez have repeatedly demanded his immediate release, framing the detention as a political matter while overseeing domestic prisoner amnesties and international diplomatic appeals. The ongoing federal prosecution in the Southern District of New York, including potential procedural challenges over the seizure and transfer, continues to shape assessments of any near-term release. Scheduled court proceedings and bilateral U.S.-Venezuela talks represent the primary near-term catalysts that could influence trader views on timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,631,427Data de Término
31 jan 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in New York since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas on narco-terrorism and narcotics charges. Acting Venezuelan authorities under Delcy Rodríguez have repeatedly demanded his immediate release, framing the detention as a political matter while overseeing domestic prisoner amnesties and international diplomatic appeals. The ongoing federal prosecution in the Southern District of New York, including potential procedural challenges over the seizure and transfer, continues to shape assessments of any near-term release. Scheduled court proceedings and bilateral U.S.-Venezuela talks represent the primary near-term catalysts that could influence trader views on timing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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