Nicolás Maduro remains in US federal custody at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center on narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges following his January 2026 capture by US forces. A federal judge set his trial for June 2027 after a July hearing, with defense motions challenging the indictment on immunity grounds due in early September. Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez has not raised his release during recent US-backed transition talks with the opposition, signaling limited diplomatic pressure. Trader sentiment centers on whether court rulings, presidential clemency, a prisoner exchange, or broader US-Venezuela reconciliation could produce release before trial, against the backdrop of stalled political reconciliation and ongoing sanctions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$2,688,795 Vol.
30 jan 2026
31 de dezembro
7%
$2,688,795 Vol.
31 de dezembro
$293,346 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in US federal custody at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center on narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges following his January 2026 capture by US forces. A federal judge set his trial for June 2027 after a July hearing, with defense motions challenging the indictment on immunity grounds due in early September. Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez has not raised his release during recent US-backed transition talks with the opposition, signaling limited diplomatic pressure. Trader sentiment centers on whether court rulings, presidential clemency, a prisoner exchange, or broader US-Venezuela reconciliation could produce release before trial, against the backdrop of stalled political reconciliation and ongoing sanctions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volume
$2,688,795Data de Término
31 jan 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in US federal custody at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center on narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges following his January 2026 capture by US forces. A federal judge set his trial for June 2027 after a July hearing, with defense motions challenging the indictment on immunity grounds due in early September. Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez has not raised his release during recent US-backed transition talks with the opposition, signaling limited diplomatic pressure. Trader sentiment centers on whether court rulings, presidential clemency, a prisoner exchange, or broader US-Venezuela reconciliation could produce release before trial, against the backdrop of stalled political reconciliation and ongoing sanctions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,688,795Data de Término
31 jan 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro remains in US federal custody at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center on narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges following his January 2026 capture by US forces. A federal judge set his trial for June 2027 after a July hearing, with defense motions challenging the indictment on immunity grounds due in early September. Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez has not raised his release during recent US-backed transition talks with the opposition, signaling limited diplomatic pressure. Trader sentiment centers on whether court rulings, presidential clemency, a prisoner exchange, or broader US-Venezuela reconciliation could produce release before trial, against the backdrop of stalled political reconciliation and ongoing sanctions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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