North Korea has conducted no missile launches so far in May 2026, a quiet stretch that has anchored the <2 outcome at 69% among traders. The last confirmed tests occurred in April, when Pyongyang fired multiple short-range ballistic missiles over several days, including upgraded Hwasongpho-11 Ra systems with cluster munitions, marking the seventh launch sequence of the year. This recent burst of activity has been followed by an extended pause amid ongoing UN sanctions and joint U.S.-South Korea military drills. With roughly half the month remaining, market pricing reflects the expectation that any further tests will remain limited unless new diplomatic or military catalysts emerge before May 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?
<2 69%
2-3 26%
4+ 5.1%
NOVO
NOVO
31 mai 2026
<2
69%
2-3
26%
4+
5%
<2 69%
2-3 26%
4+ 5.1%
NOVO
NOVO
31 mai 2026
<2
$1,344 Vol.
69%
2-3
$3,160 Vol.
26%
4+
$516 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted no missile launches so far in May 2026, a quiet stretch that has anchored the <2 outcome at 69% among traders. The last confirmed tests occurred in April, when Pyongyang fired multiple short-range ballistic missiles over several days, including upgraded Hwasongpho-11 Ra systems with cluster munitions, marking the seventh launch sequence of the year. This recent burst of activity has been followed by an extended pause amid ongoing UN sanctions and joint U.S.-South Korea military drills. With roughly half the month remaining, market pricing reflects the expectation that any further tests will remain limited unless new diplomatic or military catalysts emerge before May 31.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$5,020Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted no missile launches so far in May 2026, a quiet stretch that has anchored the <2 outcome at 69% among traders. The last confirmed tests occurred in April, when Pyongyang fired multiple short-range ballistic missiles over several days, including upgraded Hwasongpho-11 Ra systems with cluster munitions, marking the seventh launch sequence of the year. This recent burst of activity has been followed by an extended pause amid ongoing UN sanctions and joint U.S.-South Korea military drills. With roughly half the month remaining, market pricing reflects the expectation that any further tests will remain limited unless new diplomatic or military catalysts emerge before May 31.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$5,020Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted no missile launches so far in May 2026, a quiet stretch that has anchored the <2 outcome at 69% among traders. The last confirmed tests occurred in April, when Pyongyang fired multiple short-range ballistic missiles over several days, including upgraded Hwasongpho-11 Ra systems with cluster munitions, marking the seventh launch sequence of the year. This recent burst of activity has been followed by an extended pause amid ongoing UN sanctions and joint U.S.-South Korea military drills. With roughly half the month remaining, market pricing reflects the expectation that any further tests will remain limited unless new diplomatic or military catalysts emerge before May 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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