Retail egg prices have stabilized near multi-year lows following a sharp supply rebound, positioning the $2.00–$2.25 range as the dominant trader consensus with a 63.5% implied probability. Reduced highly pathogenic avian influenza cases in early 2026 allowed producers to expand the national layer flock to approximately 308–315 million hens, lifting February and April 2026 output by 5% year-over-year and driving retail prices down to $2.25–$2.50 according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index. Wholesale prices have fallen below $0.70 per dozen amid ample inventories, while subdued seasonal demand has prevented upward pressure. With May data releases expected to reflect this normalized supply environment and no major flock disruptions reported in recent weeks, market-implied odds continue to price in a contained outcome rather than renewed volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 28%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$2.50–$2.75 2.3%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
1%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
64%
$2.25–$2.50
28%
$2.50–$2.75
2%
$2.75–$3.00
1%
$3.00–$3.25
2%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
1%
$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 28%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$2.50–$2.75 2.3%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
1%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
64%
$2.25–$2.50
28%
$2.50–$2.75
2%
$2.75–$3.00
1%
$3.00–$3.25
2%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Retail egg prices have stabilized near multi-year lows following a sharp supply rebound, positioning the $2.00–$2.25 range as the dominant trader consensus with a 63.5% implied probability. Reduced highly pathogenic avian influenza cases in early 2026 allowed producers to expand the national layer flock to approximately 308–315 million hens, lifting February and April 2026 output by 5% year-over-year and driving retail prices down to $2.25–$2.50 according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index. Wholesale prices have fallen below $0.70 per dozen amid ample inventories, while subdued seasonal demand has prevented upward pressure. With May data releases expected to reflect this normalized supply environment and no major flock disruptions reported in recent weeks, market-implied odds continue to price in a contained outcome rather than renewed volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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