South Africa’s March 2026 consumer price index rose 3.1 percent year-over-year, up from 3.0 percent in February and aligning with market expectations amid subdued goods prices and stable food inflation. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have lifted global oil prices, with April fuel hikes expected to push the next CPI release—due May 20—toward 3.8 percent and lift the 2026 annual average into the 3.2–3.5 percent range. The South African Reserve Bank maintains its 3 percent target with a 2–4 percent band, while trader consensus reflected in the 43.3 percent implied probability for the 2.9–3.2 percent band incorporates these near-term pressures against forecasts of contained core inflation near 3.2 percent and moderating services costs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoInflação Anual da África do Sul 2026
<2,6% 37.0%
4,4-4,7% 8.4%
3,5-3,8% 7.1%
3,8-4,1% 5.6%
$21,375 Vol.
$21,375 Vol.
<2,6%
37%
2,6-2,9%
37%
2,9-3,2%
43%
3,2-3,5%
26%
3,5-3,8%
16%
3,8-4,1%
22%
4,1-4,4%
30%
4,4-4,7%
8%
4,7-5,0%
22%
>5,0%
23%
<2,6% 37.0%
4,4-4,7% 8.4%
3,5-3,8% 7.1%
3,8-4,1% 5.6%
$21,375 Vol.
$21,375 Vol.
<2,6%
37%
2,6-2,9%
37%
2,9-3,2%
43%
3,2-3,5%
26%
3,5-3,8%
16%
3,8-4,1%
22%
4,1-4,4%
30%
4,4-4,7%
8%
4,7-5,0%
22%
>5,0%
23%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Mercado Aberto: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa’s March 2026 consumer price index rose 3.1 percent year-over-year, up from 3.0 percent in February and aligning with market expectations amid subdued goods prices and stable food inflation. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have lifted global oil prices, with April fuel hikes expected to push the next CPI release—due May 20—toward 3.8 percent and lift the 2026 annual average into the 3.2–3.5 percent range. The South African Reserve Bank maintains its 3 percent target with a 2–4 percent band, while trader consensus reflected in the 43.3 percent implied probability for the 2.9–3.2 percent band incorporates these near-term pressures against forecasts of contained core inflation near 3.2 percent and moderating services costs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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