Skip to main content
icon for Capital de Mercado de Fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (Menores Golpes)

Capital de Mercado de Fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (Menores Golpes)

icon for Capital de Mercado de Fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (Menores Golpes)

Capital de Mercado de Fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (Menores Golpes)

1T+ 96%

Sem IPO antes de 2028 1.3%

800B–900B 1.0%

900B–1T <1%

Polymarket

$3,436,057 Vol.

1T+ 96%

Sem IPO antes de 2028 1.3%

800B–900B 1.0%

900B–1T <1%

Polymarket

$3,436,057 Vol.

<500B

$376,674 Vol.

<1%

500B–600B

$321,293 Vol.

<1%

600B–700B

$292,708 Vol.

<1%

700B–800B

$331,677 Vol.

1%

800B–900B

$482,517 Vol.

1%

900B–1T

$420,416 Vol.

1%

1T+

$610,906 Vol.

96%

Sem IPO antes de 2028

$599,864 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for as early as mid-June 2026 following a confidential SEC filing and roadshow launch in early June, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus around a closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion. Reports indicate the company aims to raise roughly $75 billion at a valuation of $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion, driven by strong Starlink revenue growth, reusable rocket advancements, and expansion into satellite broadband and related technologies. This positioning reflects verified progress in regulatory preparations and investor demand for exposure to the dominant commercial space player. While the market-implied odds leave limited room for outcomes below $1 trillion, realistic challenges could include last-minute delays from SEC review or shifts in broader market sentiment that temper the final pricing.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$3,436,057
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for as early as mid-June 2026 following a confidential SEC filing and roadshow launch in early June, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus around a closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion. Reports indicate the company aims to raise roughly $75 billion at a valuation of $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion, driven by strong Starlink revenue growth, reusable rocket advancements, and expansion into satellite broadband and related technologies. This positioning reflects verified progress in regulatory preparations and investor demand for exposure to the dominant commercial space player. While the market-implied odds leave limited room for outcomes below $1 trillion, realistic challenges could include last-minute delays from SEC review or shifts in broader market sentiment that temper the final pricing.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$3,436,057
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Capital de Mercado de Fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (Menores Golpes)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1T+" at 96%, followed by "700B–800B" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Capital de Mercado de Fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (Menores Golpes)" has generated $3.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Capital de Mercado de Fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (Menores Golpes)," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Capital de Mercado de Fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (Menores Golpes)" is "1T+" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "700B–800B" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Capital de Mercado de Fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (Menores Golpes)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.