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icon for IPO da SpaceX: Oficialmente adicionado ao Nasdaq-100 em 2026?
Tecnologia·SpaceX

IPO da SpaceX: Oficialmente adicionado ao Nasdaq-100 em 2026?

icon for IPO da SpaceX: Oficialmente adicionado ao Nasdaq-100 em 2026?
Tecnologia·SpaceX

IPO da SpaceX: Oficialmente adicionado ao Nasdaq-100 em 2026?

Sim

96% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

96% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April, followed by its public prospectus in May, has accelerated its Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX to as early as June 12, 2026, driving the 96% implied probability. Nasdaq’s May 1 rule update created a fast-track entry for large IPOs, enabling index inclusion within 15 trading days rather than the prior year-long wait. This positions the company for rapid Nasdaq-100 addition once shares begin trading, supported by its expected $1.75 trillion valuation and Goldman Sachs-led underwriting. While the timeline remains subject to final pricing and any last-minute regulatory adjustments, the confirmed filing and exchange choice leave few realistic barriers to 2026 inclusion.

The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Volume
$514
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April, followed by its public prospectus in May, has accelerated its Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX to as early as June 12, 2026, driving the 96% implied probability. Nasdaq’s May 1 rule update created a fast-track entry for large IPOs, enabling index inclusion within 15 trading days rather than the prior year-long wait. This positions the company for rapid Nasdaq-100 addition once shares begin trading, supported by its expected $1.75 trillion valuation and Goldman Sachs-led underwriting. While the timeline remains subject to final pricing and any last-minute regulatory adjustments, the confirmed filing and exchange choice leave few realistic barriers to 2026 inclusion.

The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Volume
$514
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"IPO da SpaceX: Oficialmente adicionado ao Nasdaq-100 em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "SpaceX IPO: Oficialmente adicionada ao Nasdaq-100 em 2026?" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"IPO da SpaceX: Oficialmente adicionado ao Nasdaq-100 em 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "IPO da SpaceX: Oficialmente adicionado ao Nasdaq-100 em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPO da SpaceX: Oficialmente adicionado ao Nasdaq-100 em 2026?" is "SpaceX IPO: Oficialmente adicionada ao Nasdaq-100 em 2026?" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPO da SpaceX: Oficialmente adicionado ao Nasdaq-100 em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.