SpaceX's accelerated June 2026 IPO filing, targeting a $135-per-share price for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, anchors the closely balanced 53% market-implied probability that shares close the first trading month below the debut level. The prospectus highlighted ongoing losses alongside ambitious Starlink and Starship growth projections, while recent merger activity with xAI elevated the entry valuation and sparked analyst debate over sustainable multiples versus historical IPO precedents. Strong roadshow demand supports initial stability, yet broader equity volatility, Musk's voting control, and typical post-listing profit-taking create offsetting pressure. Pricing expected as soon as June 11 and first-month catalysts including any early revenue updates or macroeconomic data releases could shift sentiment decisively.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAlta
NOVO
NOVO
1 jul 2026
Alta
NOVO
NOVO
1 jul 2026
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO) is greater than or equal to the closing share price on its first day of trading. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The official closing price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the closing share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If SpaceX’s first day of trading falls on the last trading day of the calendar month, this market will consider the closing share price of the last trading day of the following calendar month, treating it as though SpaceX completed its IPO the following month for the purposes of this market.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on either specified day of SpaceX trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published for either specified day, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the specified day for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated June 2026 IPO filing, targeting a $135-per-share price for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, anchors the closely balanced 53% market-implied probability that shares close the first trading month below the debut level. The prospectus highlighted ongoing losses alongside ambitious Starlink and Starship growth projections, while recent merger activity with xAI elevated the entry valuation and sparked analyst debate over sustainable multiples versus historical IPO precedents. Strong roadshow demand supports initial stability, yet broader equity volatility, Musk's voting control, and typical post-listing profit-taking create offsetting pressure. Pricing expected as soon as June 11 and first-month catalysts including any early revenue updates or macroeconomic data releases could shift sentiment decisively.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO) is greater than or equal to the closing share price on its first day of trading. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The official closing price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the closing share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If SpaceX’s first day of trading falls on the last trading day of the calendar month, this market will consider the closing share price of the last trading day of the following calendar month, treating it as though SpaceX completed its IPO the following month for the purposes of this market.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on either specified day of SpaceX trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published for either specified day, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the specified day for purposes of this market.
The official closing price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the closing share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If SpaceX’s first day of trading falls on the last trading day of the calendar month, this market will consider the closing share price of the last trading day of the following calendar month, treating it as though SpaceX completed its IPO the following month for the purposes of this market.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on either specified day of SpaceX trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published for either specified day, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the specified day for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:46 AM ET
Volume
$723Data de Término
1 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO) is greater than or equal to the closing share price on its first day of trading. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The official closing price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the closing share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If SpaceX’s first day of trading falls on the last trading day of the calendar month, this market will consider the closing share price of the last trading day of the following calendar month, treating it as though SpaceX completed its IPO the following month for the purposes of this market.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on either specified day of SpaceX trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published for either specified day, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the specified day for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated June 2026 IPO filing, targeting a $135-per-share price for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, anchors the closely balanced 53% market-implied probability that shares close the first trading month below the debut level. The prospectus highlighted ongoing losses alongside ambitious Starlink and Starship growth projections, while recent merger activity with xAI elevated the entry valuation and sparked analyst debate over sustainable multiples versus historical IPO precedents. Strong roadshow demand supports initial stability, yet broader equity volatility, Musk's voting control, and typical post-listing profit-taking create offsetting pressure. Pricing expected as soon as June 11 and first-month catalysts including any early revenue updates or macroeconomic data releases could shift sentiment decisively.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO) is greater than or equal to the closing share price on its first day of trading. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The official closing price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the closing share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If SpaceX’s first day of trading falls on the last trading day of the calendar month, this market will consider the closing share price of the last trading day of the following calendar month, treating it as though SpaceX completed its IPO the following month for the purposes of this market.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on either specified day of SpaceX trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published for either specified day, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the specified day for purposes of this market.
The official closing price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the closing share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If SpaceX’s first day of trading falls on the last trading day of the calendar month, this market will consider the closing share price of the last trading day of the following calendar month, treating it as though SpaceX completed its IPO the following month for the purposes of this market.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on either specified day of SpaceX trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published for either specified day, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the specified day for purposes of this market.
Volume
$723Data de Término
1 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's accelerated June 2026 IPO filing, targeting a $135-per-share price for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, anchors the closely balanced 53% market-implied probability that shares close the first trading month below the debut level. The prospectus highlighted ongoing losses alongside ambitious Starlink and Starship growth projections, while recent merger activity with xAI elevated the entry valuation and sparked analyst debate over sustainable multiples versus historical IPO precedents. Strong roadshow demand supports initial stability, yet broader equity volatility, Musk's voting control, and typical post-listing profit-taking create offsetting pressure. Pricing expected as soon as June 11 and first-month catalysts including any early revenue updates or macroeconomic data releases could shift sentiment decisively.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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