Deep Fission filed its S-1 on May 20, 2026, for a Nasdaq IPO targeting $150-156 million by selling 6 million shares at $24-26 each, implying a roughly $1.66-1.7 billion fully diluted valuation to fund underground small modular reactor development aimed at AI data center power demand. Traders assign the highest probability (58.3%) to a closing market cap below $1.25 billion, reflecting the company's pre-revenue status, ongoing net losses, slipped reactor timelines, and regulatory uncertainties for its novel borehole-deployed pressurized water reactors. The 14.8% odds on no IPO before August 2026 capture potential delays after the May roadshow launch and prior reverse-merger attempt that never produced active trading. Stronger outcomes above $3 billion remain a minority view given execution risks in the competitive advanced nuclear sector.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoDeep Fission IPO Closing Market Cap
Deep Fission IPO Closing Market Cap
<$1.25B 61.9%
$1.25B–$1.5B 13.1%
$2.5B–$3.0B 7.1%
$1.5B–$1.75B 6%
$19,853 Vol.
$19,853 Vol.
29 mai 2026
<$1.25B
62%
$1.25B–$1.5B
13%
$1.5B–$1.75B
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
5%
$2.0B–$2.5B
4%
$2.5B–$3.0B
7%
$3.0B+
20%
No IPO before August 2026
13%
<$1.25B 61.9%
$1.25B–$1.5B 13.1%
$2.5B–$3.0B 7.1%
$1.5B–$1.75B 6%
$19,853 Vol.
$19,853 Vol.
29 mai 2026
<$1.25B
$1,369 Vol.
62%
$1.25B–$1.5B
$827 Vol.
13%
$1.5B–$1.75B
$9,660 Vol.
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
$4,372 Vol.
5%
$2.0B–$2.5B
$815 Vol.
4%
$2.5B–$3.0B
$619 Vol.
7%
$3.0B+
$734 Vol.
20%
No IPO before August 2026
$1,457 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Deep Fission filed its S-1 on May 20, 2026, for a Nasdaq IPO targeting $150-156 million by selling 6 million shares at $24-26 each, implying a roughly $1.66-1.7 billion fully diluted valuation to fund underground small modular reactor development aimed at AI data center power demand. Traders assign the highest probability (58.3%) to a closing market cap below $1.25 billion, reflecting the company's pre-revenue status, ongoing net losses, slipped reactor timelines, and regulatory uncertainties for its novel borehole-deployed pressurized water reactors. The 14.8% odds on no IPO before August 2026 capture potential delays after the May roadshow launch and prior reverse-merger attempt that never produced active trading. Stronger outcomes above $3 billion remain a minority view given execution risks in the competitive advanced nuclear sector.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$19,853Data de Término
29 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Deep Fission filed its S-1 on May 20, 2026, for a Nasdaq IPO targeting $150-156 million by selling 6 million shares at $24-26 each, implying a roughly $1.66-1.7 billion fully diluted valuation to fund underground small modular reactor development aimed at AI data center power demand. Traders assign the highest probability (58.3%) to a closing market cap below $1.25 billion, reflecting the company's pre-revenue status, ongoing net losses, slipped reactor timelines, and regulatory uncertainties for its novel borehole-deployed pressurized water reactors. The 14.8% odds on no IPO before August 2026 capture potential delays after the May roadshow launch and prior reverse-merger attempt that never produced active trading. Stronger outcomes above $3 billion remain a minority view given execution risks in the competitive advanced nuclear sector.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$19,853Data de Término
29 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Deep Fission filed its S-1 on May 20, 2026, for a Nasdaq IPO targeting $150-156 million by selling 6 million shares at $24-26 each, implying a roughly $1.66-1.7 billion fully diluted valuation to fund underground small modular reactor development aimed at AI data center power demand. Traders assign the highest probability (58.3%) to a closing market cap below $1.25 billion, reflecting the company's pre-revenue status, ongoing net losses, slipped reactor timelines, and regulatory uncertainties for its novel borehole-deployed pressurized water reactors. The 14.8% odds on no IPO before August 2026 capture potential delays after the May roadshow launch and prior reverse-merger attempt that never produced active trading. Stronger outcomes above $3 billion remain a minority view given execution risks in the competitive advanced nuclear sector.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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