Strong first-day momentum from the record $75 billion IPO, which priced at $135 and closed up 19% at approximately $161 on June 12, underpins the slim 55.5% market-implied probability that SPCX opens higher on its second trading day. Oversubscription exceeding 4x, heavy retail allocations, and anticipated Nasdaq-100 inclusion have sustained buying interest amid a tight initial float of roughly 4%. Counterbalancing factors include analyst skepticism on the $1.77 trillion valuation—highlighted by a sell rating with a $115 price target—and typical post-IPO profit-taking after outsized pops. Staggered lock-up provisions delay meaningful insider supply until after Q2 earnings in August, leaving near-term price action driven by index-related demand and sentiment shifts rather than fundamental releases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIPO da SpaceX: Open Up/Down no segundo dia
IPO da SpaceX: Open Up/Down no segundo dia
Sobe
$10,591 Vol.
$10,591 Vol.
Sobe
$10,591 Vol.
$10,591 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.Strong first-day momentum from the record $75 billion IPO, which priced at $135 and closed up 19% at approximately $161 on June 12, underpins the slim 55.5% market-implied probability that SPCX opens higher on its second trading day. Oversubscription exceeding 4x, heavy retail allocations, and anticipated Nasdaq-100 inclusion have sustained buying interest amid a tight initial float of roughly 4%. Counterbalancing factors include analyst skepticism on the $1.77 trillion valuation—highlighted by a sell rating with a $115 price target—and typical post-IPO profit-taking after outsized pops. Staggered lock-up provisions delay meaningful insider supply until after Q2 earnings in August, leaving near-term price action driven by index-related demand and sentiment shifts rather than fundamental releases.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
Volume
$10,591Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.Strong first-day momentum from the record $75 billion IPO, which priced at $135 and closed up 19% at approximately $161 on June 12, underpins the slim 55.5% market-implied probability that SPCX opens higher on its second trading day. Oversubscription exceeding 4x, heavy retail allocations, and anticipated Nasdaq-100 inclusion have sustained buying interest amid a tight initial float of roughly 4%. Counterbalancing factors include analyst skepticism on the $1.77 trillion valuation—highlighted by a sell rating with a $115 price target—and typical post-IPO profit-taking after outsized pops. Staggered lock-up provisions delay meaningful insider supply until after Q2 earnings in August, leaving near-term price action driven by index-related demand and sentiment shifts rather than fundamental releases.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Volume
$10,591Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong first-day momentum from the record $75 billion IPO, which priced at $135 and closed up 19% at approximately $161 on June 12, underpins the slim 55.5% market-implied probability that SPCX opens higher on its second trading day. Oversubscription exceeding 4x, heavy retail allocations, and anticipated Nasdaq-100 inclusion have sustained buying interest amid a tight initial float of roughly 4%. Counterbalancing factors include analyst skepticism on the $1.77 trillion valuation—highlighted by a sell rating with a $115 price target—and typical post-IPO profit-taking after outsized pops. Staggered lock-up provisions delay meaningful insider supply until after Q2 earnings in August, leaving near-term price action driven by index-related demand and sentiment shifts rather than fundamental releases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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