SpaceX’s completed June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, which raised a record $75 billion at a $1.77 trillion valuation and quickly pushed the market cap above $2 trillion, drives the near-certain 98.9% market-implied odds. The company secured rule changes enabling early Nasdaq-100 inclusion rather than the standard multi-month wait, aligning with its size, liquidity, and non-financial status. Traders view the addition as a near-formality once index committees complete their next rebalancing review. While last-minute procedural delays or unexpected corporate actions remain theoretically possible, the combination of immediate trading history, institutional demand, and precedent for large IPOs entering indexes quickly leaves little room for reversal before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$11,326 Vol.
$11,326 Vol.
1 jan 2027
$11,326 Vol.
$11,326 Vol.
1 jan 2027
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX’s completed June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, which raised a record $75 billion at a $1.77 trillion valuation and quickly pushed the market cap above $2 trillion, drives the near-certain 98.9% market-implied odds. The company secured rule changes enabling early Nasdaq-100 inclusion rather than the standard multi-month wait, aligning with its size, liquidity, and non-financial status. Traders view the addition as a near-formality once index committees complete their next rebalancing review. While last-minute procedural delays or unexpected corporate actions remain theoretically possible, the combination of immediate trading history, institutional demand, and precedent for large IPOs entering indexes quickly leaves little room for reversal before year-end.
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
Volume
$11,326Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX’s completed June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, which raised a record $75 billion at a $1.77 trillion valuation and quickly pushed the market cap above $2 trillion, drives the near-certain 98.9% market-implied odds. The company secured rule changes enabling early Nasdaq-100 inclusion rather than the standard multi-month wait, aligning with its size, liquidity, and non-financial status. Traders view the addition as a near-formality once index committees complete their next rebalancing review. While last-minute procedural delays or unexpected corporate actions remain theoretically possible, the combination of immediate trading history, institutional demand, and precedent for large IPOs entering indexes quickly leaves little room for reversal before year-end.
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Volume
$11,326Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s completed June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, which raised a record $75 billion at a $1.77 trillion valuation and quickly pushed the market cap above $2 trillion, drives the near-certain 98.9% market-implied odds. The company secured rule changes enabling early Nasdaq-100 inclusion rather than the standard multi-month wait, aligning with its size, liquidity, and non-financial status. Traders view the addition as a near-formality once index committees complete their next rebalancing review. While last-minute procedural delays or unexpected corporate actions remain theoretically possible, the combination of immediate trading history, institutional demand, and precedent for large IPOs entering indexes quickly leaves little room for reversal before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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