Skip to main content
icon for Vencedor do Survivor 50

Vencedor do Survivor 50

icon for Vencedor do Survivor 50

Vencedor do Survivor 50

Aubry Bracco 92%

Jonathan Young 2.7%

Joe Hunter 2.1%

Cirie Fields 1.9%

Polymarket

$1,552,105 Vol.

Aubry Bracco 92%

Jonathan Young 2.7%

Joe Hunter 2.1%

Cirie Fields 1.9%

Polymarket

$1,552,105 Vol.

Aubry Bracco

$330,077 Vol.

92%

Jonathan Young

$77,084 Vol.

3%

Joe Hunter

$95,538 Vol.

2%

Cirie Fields

$65,576 Vol.

2%

Rick Devens

$60,934 Vol.

1%

Rizo Velovic

$97,744 Vol.

1%

Tiffany Nicole Ervin

$34,329 Vol.

<1%

Emily Flippen

$44,757 Vol.

<1%

Jenna Lewis-Dougherty

$37,239 Vol.

<1%

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

$45,424 Vol.

<1%

Colby Donaldson

$39,215 Vol.

<1%

Mike White

$59,026 Vol.

<1%

Angelina Keeley

$26,883 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Davis

$57,219 Vol.

<1%

Genevieve Mushaluk

$31,314 Vol.

<1%

Kamilla Karthigesu

$46,418 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin "Coach" Wade

$34,973 Vol.

<1%

Ozzy Lusth

$86,083 Vol.

<1%

Quintavius "Q" Burdette

$36,041 Vol.

<1%

Chrissy Hofbeck

$37,649 Vol.

<1%

Christian Hubicki

$76,841 Vol.

<1%

Dee Valladares

$80,241 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Fraser

$10,057 Vol.

<1%

Savannah Louie

$41,442 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus crowns Aubry Bracco as the overwhelming Survivor 50 frontrunner at 91.5% implied probability, fueled by her masterful late-game navigation through blindsides and alliances in recent episodes like the chaotic "Everyone Will Be Shooketh!" where she earned fan-voted Player of the Episode honors. Her veteran resume—runner-up in Kaôh Rōng, strong showings in Game Changers and Edge of Extinction—bolsters perceptions of superior jury management, especially after addressing bitter jury risks in interviews. With final seven intact ahead of tonight's penultimate episode rumored to feature a double-elimination, her social bonds and strategic reads position her for Final Tribal Council dominance. Realistic upsets hinge on Cirie Fields' legendary gameplay swaying the jury, Jonathan Young's physical immunity wins, or a surprise blindside derailing her path before the May 20 live finale.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,552,105
Data de Término
20 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus crowns Aubry Bracco as the overwhelming Survivor 50 frontrunner at 91.5% implied probability, fueled by her masterful late-game navigation through blindsides and alliances in recent episodes like the chaotic "Everyone Will Be Shooketh!" where she earned fan-voted Player of the Episode honors. Her veteran resume—runner-up in Kaôh Rōng, strong showings in Game Changers and Edge of Extinction—bolsters perceptions of superior jury management, especially after addressing bitter jury risks in interviews. With final seven intact ahead of tonight's penultimate episode rumored to feature a double-elimination, her social bonds and strategic reads position her for Final Tribal Council dominance. Realistic upsets hinge on Cirie Fields' legendary gameplay swaying the jury, Jonathan Young's physical immunity wins, or a surprise blindside derailing her path before the May 20 live finale.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,552,105
Data de Término
20 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Survivor 50" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aubry Bracco" at 92%, followed by "Jonathan Young" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Survivor 50" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Survivor 50," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Survivor 50" is "Aubry Bracco" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jonathan Young" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Survivor 50" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.