Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, anchoring trader consensus on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 windows as the most likely departure periods. Powell confirmed in late April that he will step down from the chair role on that date while remaining a governor for an undetermined period to help preserve institutional continuity amid ongoing political pressures. The Senate’s recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor has removed major procedural hurdles, supporting the view that the transition will occur on or shortly after the statutory deadline. No credible reports indicate an earlier exit or extended delay beyond the first weeks of June. These developments have concentrated implied probabilities on the immediate post-May 15 timeframe, reflecting the predictable calendar-driven resolution rather than abrupt change.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 40.4%
May 23–29 31.4%
May 30–June 5 5.1%
June 6–12 2.7%
$172,512 Vol.
$172,512 Vol.
3 jul 2026
May 15–22
43%
May 23–29
31%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 40.4%
May 23–29 31.4%
May 30–June 5 5.1%
June 6–12 2.7%
$172,512 Vol.
$172,512 Vol.
3 jul 2026
May 15–22
$65,564 Vol.
43%
May 23–29
$8,468 Vol.
31%
May 30–June 5
$9,166 Vol.
5%
June 6–12
$9,114 Vol.
3%
June 13–19
$8,860 Vol.
2%
June 20–26
$10,441 Vol.
1%
June 27–July 3
$6,331 Vol.
1%
After July 3
$17,618 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, anchoring trader consensus on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 windows as the most likely departure periods. Powell confirmed in late April that he will step down from the chair role on that date while remaining a governor for an undetermined period to help preserve institutional continuity amid ongoing political pressures. The Senate’s recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor has removed major procedural hurdles, supporting the view that the transition will occur on or shortly after the statutory deadline. No credible reports indicate an earlier exit or extended delay beyond the first weeks of June. These developments have concentrated implied probabilities on the immediate post-May 15 timeframe, reflecting the predictable calendar-driven resolution rather than abrupt change.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$172,512Data de Término
3 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, anchoring trader consensus on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 windows as the most likely departure periods. Powell confirmed in late April that he will step down from the chair role on that date while remaining a governor for an undetermined period to help preserve institutional continuity amid ongoing political pressures. The Senate’s recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor has removed major procedural hurdles, supporting the view that the transition will occur on or shortly after the statutory deadline. No credible reports indicate an earlier exit or extended delay beyond the first weeks of June. These developments have concentrated implied probabilities on the immediate post-May 15 timeframe, reflecting the predictable calendar-driven resolution rather than abrupt change.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$172,512Data de Término
3 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, anchoring trader consensus on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 windows as the most likely departure periods. Powell confirmed in late April that he will step down from the chair role on that date while remaining a governor for an undetermined period to help preserve institutional continuity amid ongoing political pressures. The Senate’s recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor has removed major procedural hurdles, supporting the view that the transition will occur on or shortly after the statutory deadline. No credible reports indicate an earlier exit or extended delay beyond the first weeks of June. These developments have concentrated implied probabilities on the immediate post-May 15 timeframe, reflecting the predictable calendar-driven resolution rather than abrupt change.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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