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Política·Trump

Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?

Kevin Warsh 100.0%

Judy Shelton <1%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Christopher Waller <1%

$64,453,275 Vol.

$64,453,275 Vol.

31 out 2026

Kevin Warsh

$14,412,258 Vol.

Sim

Judy Shelton

$23,970,640 Vol.

Não

Kevin Hassett

$2,096,549 Vol.

Não

Christopher Waller

$2,229,963 Vol.

Não

Jerome Powell

$2,694,321 Vol.

Não

Stephen Miran

$1,672,834 Vol.

Não

Scott Bessent

$4,678,392 Vol.

Não

Rick Reider

$2,086,775 Vol.

Não

Michelle Bowman

$10,611,544 Vol.

Não

Kevin Warsh 100.0%

Judy Shelton <1%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Christopher Waller <1%

$64,453,275 Vol.

$64,453,275 Vol.

31 out 2026

Kevin Warsh

$14,412,258 Vol.

Sim

Judy Shelton

$23,970,640 Vol.

Não

Kevin Hassett

$2,096,549 Vol.

Não

Christopher Waller

$2,229,963 Vol.

Não

Jerome Powell

$2,694,321 Vol.

Não

Stephen Miran

$1,672,834 Vol.

Não

Scott Bessent

$4,678,392 Vol.

Não

Rick Reider

$2,086,775 Vol.

Não

Michelle Bowman

$10,611,544 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kevin Warsh" at 100%, followed by "Judy Shelton" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?" has generated $64.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?" is "Kevin Warsh" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Judy Shelton" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $64.5 million traded on “Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Kevin Warsh" in the "Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Kevin Warsh" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?" market has an active community of 112 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.