**No at 96.9% reflects strong trader consensus that family courts rarely grant full custody to a non-primary caregiver without documented evidence of harm or neglect.** Ashley St. Clair has served as the child's primary caregiver since Romulus's September 2024 birth, while Musk has had minimal documented involvement. St. Clair petitioned for sole custody in February 2025, and Musk publicly stated in January 2026 he would seek full custody over concerns tied to her statements on transgender issues. No verified court findings have established risk to the child, and standard legal precedents emphasize stability and the child's best interests, typically favoring shared or maternal arrangements. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow and would require substantial new evidence of neglect or a dramatic shift in circumstances that meets the high legal threshold for overriding the primary caregiver presumption.