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icon for Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?

Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?

icon for Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?

Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?

$91,557 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$91,557 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro de 2026

$59,822 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gavin Newsom's term as California governor ends in January 2027 after two terms, freeing him to pursue higher office while positioning him as a leading voice in Democratic opposition to the Trump administration. He has publicly stated he will seriously evaluate a 2028 presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, and as of August 2026 he has made no formal announcement despite increased national visibility through a book tour, podcast appearances, and policy outreach on issues like AI regulation. Recent developments include a federal investigation into Newsom and his family, which he has described as politically motivated, alongside image adjustments toward populist stances and engagement with diverse political figures. Trader consensus on an early announcement reflects these timelines and the absence of a declaration to date, with potential catalysts including midterm outcomes and any shifts in Democratic primary polling where Newsom remains competitive with figures like Kamala Harris.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,557
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Oct 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gavin Newsom's term as California governor ends in January 2027 after two terms, freeing him to pursue higher office while positioning him as a leading voice in Democratic opposition to the Trump administration. He has publicly stated he will seriously evaluate a 2028 presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, and as of August 2026 he has made no formal announcement despite increased national visibility through a book tour, podcast appearances, and policy outreach on issues like AI regulation. Recent developments include a federal investigation into Newsom and his family, which he has described as politically motivated, alongside image adjustments toward populist stances and engagement with diverse political figures. Trader consensus on an early announcement reflects these timelines and the absence of a declaration to date, with potential catalysts including midterm outcomes and any shifts in Democratic primary polling where Newsom remains competitive with figures like Kamala Harris.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,557
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Oct 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 11%, followed by "31 de dezembro de 2025" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?" has generated $91.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2025" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.