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icon for Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?

Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?

icon for Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?

Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?

$91,344 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$91,344 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro de 2026

$59,610 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California Governor Gavin Newsom faces term limits that end his time in office in January 2027, prompting ongoing speculation about a 2028 presidential bid. In October 2025 he confirmed he would seriously consider running and reach a decision after the November 2026 midterms. Through mid-2026 he has raised his national profile via book tours in early primary states, criticism of the Trump administration, and policy shifts including populist AI regulations and a new consumer protection appointment. A July 2026 remark tied any formal entry to “fate,” while his standing in 2028 Democratic nomination markets has declined from earlier peaks. No announcement has occurred as of August 2026; traders will watch midterm results, polling trends among Democratic primary voters, and any scheduled appearances or statements in the coming months for signals of an imminent launch.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,344
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California Governor Gavin Newsom faces term limits that end his time in office in January 2027, prompting ongoing speculation about a 2028 presidential bid. In October 2025 he confirmed he would seriously consider running and reach a decision after the November 2026 midterms. Through mid-2026 he has raised his national profile via book tours in early primary states, criticism of the Trump administration, and policy shifts including populist AI regulations and a new consumer protection appointment. A July 2026 remark tied any formal entry to “fate,” while his standing in 2028 Democratic nomination markets has declined from earlier peaks. No announcement has occurred as of August 2026; traders will watch midterm results, polling trends among Democratic primary voters, and any scheduled appearances or statements in the coming months for signals of an imminent launch.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,344
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 11%, followed by "31 de dezembro de 2025" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?" has generated $91.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2025" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Gavin Newsom anunciará a candidatura presidencial de...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.