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icon for O Homem-Aranha: Novo Dia ultrapassará Star Wars: O Despertar da Força em...?

O Homem-Aranha: Novo Dia ultrapassará Star Wars: O Despertar da Força em...?

icon for O Homem-Aranha: Novo Dia ultrapassará Star Wars: O Despertar da Força em...?

O Homem-Aranha: Novo Dia ultrapassará Star Wars: O Despertar da Força em...?

$27,810 Vol.

13 set 2026
Polymarket

$27,810 Vol.

Polymarket

13 de setembro

$13,671 Vol.

Não

15 de setembro

$6,017 Vol.

Sim

17 de setembro

$1,196 Vol.

Sim

19 de setembro

$5,149 Vol.

Sim

21 de setembro

$1,776 Vol.

Sim

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $355–360 million domestic opening in late July, the second-largest ever behind Avengers: Endgame, immediately positioned it as a frontrunner to challenge Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.7 million all-time North American gross. Strong critical reception for its mature tone and Tom Holland’s performance, combined with robust word-of-mouth and minimal summer competition, fueled exceptional legs that saw the film reach $800 million domestically in a record 19 days and $900 million faster than any prior release. Ongoing box-office updates through August and early September confirmed its trajectory past TFA’s 2015 benchmark, with traders closely tracking daily grosses and re-release potential amid its $2.45 billion worldwide haul.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
Volume
$27,810
Data de Término
21 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:40 PM ET

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $355–360 million domestic opening in late July, the second-largest ever behind Avengers: Endgame, immediately positioned it as a frontrunner to challenge Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.7 million all-time North American gross. Strong critical reception for its mature tone and Tom Holland’s performance, combined with robust word-of-mouth and minimal summer competition, fueled exceptional legs that saw the film reach $800 million domestically in a record 19 days and $900 million faster than any prior release. Ongoing box-office updates through August and early September confirmed its trajectory past TFA’s 2015 benchmark, with traders closely tracking daily grosses and re-release potential amid its $2.45 billion worldwide haul.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
Volume
$27,810
Data de Término
21 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:40 PM ET

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O Homem-Aranha: Novo Dia ultrapassará Star Wars: O Despertar da Força em...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "15 de setembro" at 100%, followed by "17 de setembro" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O Homem-Aranha: Novo Dia ultrapassará Star Wars: O Despertar da Força em...?" has generated $27.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O Homem-Aranha: Novo Dia ultrapassará Star Wars: O Despertar da Força em...?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O Homem-Aranha: Novo Dia ultrapassará Star Wars: O Despertar da Força em...?" is "15 de setembro" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "17 de setembro" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O Homem-Aranha: Novo Dia ultrapassará Star Wars: O Despertar da Força em...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.