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icon for Trump perdoará Ghislaine Maxwell até o final de 2026?

Trump perdoará Ghislaine Maxwell até o final de 2026?

icon for Trump perdoará Ghislaine Maxwell até o final de 2026?

Trump perdoará Ghislaine Maxwell até o final de 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

7% chance
Polymarket

$745,044 Vol.

Sim

7% chance
Polymarket

$745,044 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The unanimous July 2026 Senate resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has sharply reduced prospects for executive action before the end of the year. Passed by unanimous consent with full Republican and Democratic support, the measure places bipartisan congressional pressure on the Trump administration and signals institutional resistance to clemency for the convicted sex trafficker. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not been approached about a pardon and described further discussion as inappropriate, while Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has indicated no recommendation for relief. With only months remaining in the resolution window and sustained cross-party scrutiny tied to Epstein-related accountability, traders assess the odds of a pardon by December 31, 2026, as low.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$745,044
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The unanimous July 2026 Senate resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has sharply reduced prospects for executive action before the end of the year. Passed by unanimous consent with full Republican and Democratic support, the measure places bipartisan congressional pressure on the Trump administration and signals institutional resistance to clemency for the convicted sex trafficker. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not been approached about a pardon and described further discussion as inappropriate, while Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has indicated no recommendation for relief. With only months remaining in the resolution window and sustained cross-party scrutiny tied to Epstein-related accountability, traders assess the odds of a pardon by December 31, 2026, as low.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$745,044
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump perdoará Ghislaine Maxwell até o final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump vai perdoar Ghislaine Maxwell até o final de 2026?" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump perdoará Ghislaine Maxwell até o final de 2026?" has generated $745K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump perdoará Ghislaine Maxwell até o final de 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Trump perdoará Ghislaine Maxwell até o final de 2026?" is "Trump vai perdoar Ghislaine Maxwell até o final de 2026?" at just 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Trump perdoará Ghislaine Maxwell até o final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.