Trader consensus prices a Ghislaine Maxwell pardon by Trump at just 9.5%, reflecting scant official momentum amid high political risks tied to her 2021 sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Recent House Oversight Committee divisions—some Republicans open to clemency for cooperation in Epstein probes (April-May 2026)—have fueled speculation, but Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's firm rejection and Democratic backlash underscore barriers. Trump's October 2025 comment to "look into" it remains non-committal, with his 2025-2026 pardons targeting allies like January 6 participants rather than Maxwell. Her minimum-security transfer and appeals proceed without pardon signals, as White House concerns over controversial mass pardons for the 250th anniversary amplify trader skepticism despite 18 months left.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$552,038 Vol.
$552,038 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$552,038 Vol.
$552,038 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a Ghislaine Maxwell pardon by Trump at just 9.5%, reflecting scant official momentum amid high political risks tied to her 2021 sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Recent House Oversight Committee divisions—some Republicans open to clemency for cooperation in Epstein probes (April-May 2026)—have fueled speculation, but Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's firm rejection and Democratic backlash underscore barriers. Trump's October 2025 comment to "look into" it remains non-committal, with his 2025-2026 pardons targeting allies like January 6 participants rather than Maxwell. Her minimum-security transfer and appeals proceed without pardon signals, as White House concerns over controversial mass pardons for the 250th anniversary amplify trader skepticism despite 18 months left.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volume
$552,038Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a Ghislaine Maxwell pardon by Trump at just 9.5%, reflecting scant official momentum amid high political risks tied to her 2021 sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Recent House Oversight Committee divisions—some Republicans open to clemency for cooperation in Epstein probes (April-May 2026)—have fueled speculation, but Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's firm rejection and Democratic backlash underscore barriers. Trump's October 2025 comment to "look into" it remains non-committal, with his 2025-2026 pardons targeting allies like January 6 participants rather than Maxwell. Her minimum-security transfer and appeals proceed without pardon signals, as White House concerns over controversial mass pardons for the 250th anniversary amplify trader skepticism despite 18 months left.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$552,038Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus prices a Ghislaine Maxwell pardon by Trump at just 9.5%, reflecting scant official momentum amid high political risks tied to her 2021 sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Recent House Oversight Committee divisions—some Republicans open to clemency for cooperation in Epstein probes (April-May 2026)—have fueled speculation, but Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's firm rejection and Democratic backlash underscore barriers. Trump's October 2025 comment to "look into" it remains non-committal, with his 2025-2026 pardons targeting allies like January 6 participants rather than Maxwell. Her minimum-security transfer and appeals proceed without pardon signals, as White House concerns over controversial mass pardons for the 250th anniversary amplify trader skepticism despite 18 months left.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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