**The unanimous Senate resolution passed on July 29, 2026, opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell stands as the clearest recent signal reinforcing trader expectations.** This bipartisan measure, introduced earlier in the year and advanced ahead of related confirmation proceedings, places the full Senate on record against executive relief tied to her sex-trafficking conviction. President Trump has repeatedly declined to rule out reviewing the matter or consulting the Department of Justice, yet he has offered no affirmative signals of intent, and the acting attorney general has stated no recommendation for clemency would be made. Maxwell’s legal team continues to pursue relief, but the combination of institutional opposition, the case’s sensitivity involving minors, and absence of momentum have kept implied probabilities for a pardon by the end of 2026 near single digits.