Trader consensus overwhelmingly implies the sender of the February 3, 2016, "I beat Bush" email to Jeffrey Epstein—posted in redacted form by Rep. Ro Khanna on February 12—will not be publicly confirmed by December 31, 2026, reflecting DOJ's persistent redactions in Epstein files and resolution of related markets against timely disclosures. Gwendolyn Beck holds the next-highest odds due to her documented Epstein associations, including flight logs and Mar-a-Lago photos, alongside online speculation linking her 2014 Virginia congressional bid to the email's brag of outperforming Jeb Bush's Iowa caucus share with support from just one district. Lower probabilities for Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul stem from their 2016 Iowa outperformance of Bush but mismatch the "one congressional district" detail and limited Epstein ties. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with odds stable amid absent court rulings or official unredactions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNão revelado em 2026 80%
Gwendolyn Beck 10.8%
Ben Carson 2.6%
Donald Trump 1.3%
$13,373 Vol.
$13,373 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Não revelado em 2026
81%
Gwendolyn Beck
11%
Ben Carson
3%
Donald Trump
1%
Ted Cruz
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Rand Paul
<1%
Não revelado em 2026 80%
Gwendolyn Beck 10.8%
Ben Carson 2.6%
Donald Trump 1.3%
$13,373 Vol.
$13,373 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Não revelado em 2026
$3,977 Vol.
81%
Gwendolyn Beck
$1,311 Vol.
11%
Ben Carson
$1,840 Vol.
3%
Donald Trump
$1,662 Vol.
1%
Ted Cruz
$1,658 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,706 Vol.
<1%
Rand Paul
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly implies the sender of the February 3, 2016, "I beat Bush" email to Jeffrey Epstein—posted in redacted form by Rep. Ro Khanna on February 12—will not be publicly confirmed by December 31, 2026, reflecting DOJ's persistent redactions in Epstein files and resolution of related markets against timely disclosures. Gwendolyn Beck holds the next-highest odds due to her documented Epstein associations, including flight logs and Mar-a-Lago photos, alongside online speculation linking her 2014 Virginia congressional bid to the email's brag of outperforming Jeb Bush's Iowa caucus share with support from just one district. Lower probabilities for Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul stem from their 2016 Iowa outperformance of Bush but mismatch the "one congressional district" detail and limited Epstein ties. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with odds stable amid absent court rulings or official unredactions.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$13,373Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly implies the sender of the February 3, 2016, "I beat Bush" email to Jeffrey Epstein—posted in redacted form by Rep. Ro Khanna on February 12—will not be publicly confirmed by December 31, 2026, reflecting DOJ's persistent redactions in Epstein files and resolution of related markets against timely disclosures. Gwendolyn Beck holds the next-highest odds due to her documented Epstein associations, including flight logs and Mar-a-Lago photos, alongside online speculation linking her 2014 Virginia congressional bid to the email's brag of outperforming Jeb Bush's Iowa caucus share with support from just one district. Lower probabilities for Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul stem from their 2016 Iowa outperformance of Bush but mismatch the "one congressional district" detail and limited Epstein ties. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with odds stable amid absent court rulings or official unredactions.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$13,373Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly implies the sender of the February 3, 2016, "I beat Bush" email to Jeffrey Epstein—posted in redacted form by Rep. Ro Khanna on February 12—will not be publicly confirmed by December 31, 2026, reflecting DOJ's persistent redactions in Epstein files and resolution of related markets against timely disclosures. Gwendolyn Beck holds the next-highest odds due to her documented Epstein associations, including flight logs and Mar-a-Lago photos, alongside online speculation linking her 2014 Virginia congressional bid to the email's brag of outperforming Jeb Bush's Iowa caucus share with support from just one district. Lower probabilities for Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul stem from their 2016 Iowa outperformance of Bush but mismatch the "one congressional district" detail and limited Epstein ties. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with odds stable amid absent court rulings or official unredactions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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