Civil Contract's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election winner market reflects trader consensus on recent polls showing the incumbent party surging toward a majority under proportional representation, with the latest Armenian Election Study (ArmES) third-wave survey indicating strengthening support amid opposition fragmentation across 19 competing forces, including Strong Armenia at around 6%. The official campaign period began May 8, following Pashinyan's pragmatic foreign policy signals toward Azerbaijan and Turkey, while PACE and OSCE/ODIHR pre-electoral missions warn of potential foreign interference risks. This positioning echoes incumbency advantages in prior cycles, though late-breaking scandals, low turnout among government backers, or unified opposition challenges could shift dynamics before the June 7 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГражданский договор 94%
Сильная Армения 5.4%
Альянс Армения <1%
Процветающая Армения <1%
$179,993 Объем
$179,993 Объем
7 июн. 2026 г.
Гражданский договор
94%
Сильная Армения
5%
Альянс Армения
<1%
Процветающая Армения
<1%
Альянс «Имею честь»
<1%
Армянский национальный конгресс
<1%
Светлая Армения
<1%
Партия «Республика»
<1%
Наследие
<1%
Оринац Еркир
<1%
Гражданский договор 94%
Сильная Армения 5.4%
Альянс Армения <1%
Процветающая Армения <1%
$179,993 Объем
$179,993 Объем
7 июн. 2026 г.
Гражданский договор
$55,181 Объем
94%
Сильная Армения
$8,965 Объем
5%
Альянс Армения
$56,873 Объем
<1%
Процветающая Армения
$9,749 Объем
<1%
Альянс «Имею честь»
$7,219 Объем
<1%
Армянский национальный конгресс
$8,828 Объем
<1%
Светлая Армения
$7,741 Объем
<1%
Партия «Республика»
$7,367 Объем
<1%
Наследие
$8,236 Объем
<1%
Оринац Еркир
$9,835 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election winner market reflects trader consensus on recent polls showing the incumbent party surging toward a majority under proportional representation, with the latest Armenian Election Study (ArmES) third-wave survey indicating strengthening support amid opposition fragmentation across 19 competing forces, including Strong Armenia at around 6%. The official campaign period began May 8, following Pashinyan's pragmatic foreign policy signals toward Azerbaijan and Turkey, while PACE and OSCE/ODIHR pre-electoral missions warn of potential foreign interference risks. This positioning echoes incumbency advantages in prior cycles, though late-breaking scandals, low turnout among government backers, or unified opposition challenges could shift dynamics before the June 7 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Объем
$179,993Дата окончания
7 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election winner market reflects trader consensus on recent polls showing the incumbent party surging toward a majority under proportional representation, with the latest Armenian Election Study (ArmES) third-wave survey indicating strengthening support amid opposition fragmentation across 19 competing forces, including Strong Armenia at around 6%. The official campaign period began May 8, following Pashinyan's pragmatic foreign policy signals toward Azerbaijan and Turkey, while PACE and OSCE/ODIHR pre-electoral missions warn of potential foreign interference risks. This positioning echoes incumbency advantages in prior cycles, though late-breaking scandals, low turnout among government backers, or unified opposition challenges could shift dynamics before the June 7 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Объем
$179,993Дата окончания
7 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election winner market reflects trader consensus on recent polls showing the incumbent party surging toward a majority under proportional representation, with the latest Armenian Election Study (ArmES) third-wave survey indicating strengthening support amid opposition fragmentation across 19 competing forces, including Strong Armenia at around 6%. The official campaign period began May 8, following Pashinyan's pragmatic foreign policy signals toward Azerbaijan and Turkey, while PACE and OSCE/ODIHR pre-electoral missions warn of potential foreign interference risks. This positioning echoes incumbency advantages in prior cycles, though late-breaking scandals, low turnout among government backers, or unified opposition challenges could shift dynamics before the June 7 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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