The Bank of England's June 18, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee decision carries an 85% implied probability of no change at the current 3.75% Bank Rate, reflecting trader consensus that elevated energy prices from Middle East conflict will keep CPI inflation near 3.3% through the third quarter without triggering immediate tightening. Recent data showed March inflation rising 0.3 percentage points above prior expectations due to motor fuel and utility costs, prompting the Bank to outline contingent scenarios for potential rate increases later in 2026 while noting a loosening labor market could contain second-round wage pressures. This positioning aligns with the April Monetary Policy Report's emphasis on upside inflation risks versus weakening economic conditions, leaving little scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction at the upcoming meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРешение Банка Англии в июне?
Без изменений 85%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 15%
Повышение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
$146,433 Объем
$146,433 Объем
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
<1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
<1%
Без изменений
85%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
15%
Повышение более чем на 50 б.п.
1%
Без изменений 85%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 15%
Повышение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
$146,433 Объем
$146,433 Объем
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
<1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
<1%
Без изменений
85%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
15%
Повышение более чем на 50 б.п.
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England's June 18, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee decision carries an 85% implied probability of no change at the current 3.75% Bank Rate, reflecting trader consensus that elevated energy prices from Middle East conflict will keep CPI inflation near 3.3% through the third quarter without triggering immediate tightening. Recent data showed March inflation rising 0.3 percentage points above prior expectations due to motor fuel and utility costs, prompting the Bank to outline contingent scenarios for potential rate increases later in 2026 while noting a loosening labor market could contain second-round wage pressures. This positioning aligns with the April Monetary Policy Report's emphasis on upside inflation risks versus weakening economic conditions, leaving little scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction at the upcoming meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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