Recent polling consistently places Iván Cepeda ahead for first place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, leaving the contest for second—and a June 21 runoff berth—between conservative rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has gained ground by presenting a more assertive security platform and directly challenging Valencia to debate, capitalizing on voter frustration with crime and the incumbent administration’s record. Valencia, backed by the Democratic Center, emphasizes institutional continuity and private-sector investment but trails in head-to-head surveys. These trends explain why market pricing heavily favors de la Espriella to finish second, while other candidates remain marginal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПрезидентские выборы в Колумбии 1-й тур: 2-е место
Президентские выборы в Колумбии 1-й тур: 2-е место
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 Объем
$90,132 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Abelardo de la Espriella
71%
Paloma Valencia
18%
Iván Cepeda Castro
11%
Claudia López
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 Объем
$90,132 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Abelardo de la Espriella
$9,545 Объем
71%
Paloma Valencia
$13,316 Объем
18%
Iván Cepeda Castro
$9,665 Объем
11%
Claudia López
$5,017 Объем
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
$4,707 Объем
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
$4,254 Объем
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
$4,093 Объем
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
$3,492 Объем
<1%
Roy Barreras
$4,904 Объем
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
$3,584 Объем
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
$3,550 Объем
<1%
Vicky Dávila
$4,471 Объем
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
$3,585 Объем
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
$4,127 Объем
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
$4,086 Объем
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
$4,205 Объем
<1%
Daniel Quintero
$3,532 Объем
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places Iván Cepeda ahead for first place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, leaving the contest for second—and a June 21 runoff berth—between conservative rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has gained ground by presenting a more assertive security platform and directly challenging Valencia to debate, capitalizing on voter frustration with crime and the incumbent administration’s record. Valencia, backed by the Democratic Center, emphasizes institutional continuity and private-sector investment but trails in head-to-head surveys. These trends explain why market pricing heavily favors de la Espriella to finish second, while other candidates remain marginal.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Открытие рынка: Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Объем
$90,132Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places Iván Cepeda ahead for first place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, leaving the contest for second—and a June 21 runoff berth—between conservative rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has gained ground by presenting a more assertive security platform and directly challenging Valencia to debate, capitalizing on voter frustration with crime and the incumbent administration’s record. Valencia, backed by the Democratic Center, emphasizes institutional continuity and private-sector investment but trails in head-to-head surveys. These trends explain why market pricing heavily favors de la Espriella to finish second, while other candidates remain marginal.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Объем
$90,132Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently places Iván Cepeda ahead for first place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, leaving the contest for second—and a June 21 runoff berth—between conservative rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has gained ground by presenting a more assertive security platform and directly challenging Valencia to debate, capitalizing on voter frustration with crime and the incumbent administration’s record. Valencia, backed by the Democratic Center, emphasizes institutional continuity and private-sector investment but trails in head-to-head surveys. These trends explain why market pricing heavily favors de la Espriella to finish second, while other candidates remain marginal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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