Trump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging 18 to 19 posts daily through early 2026 with frequent overnight sprees exceeding 50 in a single session, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ range for the May 15-22 window at 42 percent. This positioning reflects ongoing political engagement, including commentary on policy and endorsements, that sustains elevated output even during routine periods. Recent data from mid-May shows continued momentum through early-morning and evening clusters, aligning with historical baselines rather than signaling any slowdown. The 180-199 bracket at 21.9 percent captures scenarios of slightly moderated pace amid scheduled events, while lower buckets price in the low probability of unusual restraint given the platform's role in direct messaging.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДональд Трамп # Правда Социальные посты 15 мая - 22 мая 2026 года?
Дональд Трамп # Правда Социальные посты 15 мая - 22 мая 2026 года?
200+ 42%
120-139 24%
140-159 14%
160-179 14%
$18,853 Объем
$18,853 Объем
22 мая 2026 г.
60–79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
5%
120-139
18%
140-159
14%
160-179
14%
180-199
11%
200+
42%
200+ 42%
120-139 24%
140-159 14%
160-179 14%
$18,853 Объем
$18,853 Объем
22 мая 2026 г.
60–79
$1,316 Объем
<1%
80-99
$3,248 Объем
<1%
100-119
$891 Объем
5%
120-139
$672 Объем
18%
140-159
$413 Объем
14%
160-179
$274 Объем
14%
180-199
$487 Объем
11%
200+
$677 Объем
42%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging 18 to 19 posts daily through early 2026 with frequent overnight sprees exceeding 50 in a single session, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ range for the May 15-22 window at 42 percent. This positioning reflects ongoing political engagement, including commentary on policy and endorsements, that sustains elevated output even during routine periods. Recent data from mid-May shows continued momentum through early-morning and evening clusters, aligning with historical baselines rather than signaling any slowdown. The 180-199 bracket at 21.9 percent captures scenarios of slightly moderated pace amid scheduled events, while lower buckets price in the low probability of unusual restraint given the platform's role in direct messaging.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Объем
$18,853Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging 18 to 19 posts daily through early 2026 with frequent overnight sprees exceeding 50 in a single session, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ range for the May 15-22 window at 42 percent. This positioning reflects ongoing political engagement, including commentary on policy and endorsements, that sustains elevated output even during routine periods. Recent data from mid-May shows continued momentum through early-morning and evening clusters, aligning with historical baselines rather than signaling any slowdown. The 180-199 bracket at 21.9 percent captures scenarios of slightly moderated pace amid scheduled events, while lower buckets price in the low probability of unusual restraint given the platform's role in direct messaging.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$18,853Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging 18 to 19 posts daily through early 2026 with frequent overnight sprees exceeding 50 in a single session, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ range for the May 15-22 window at 42 percent. This positioning reflects ongoing political engagement, including commentary on policy and endorsements, that sustains elevated output even during routine periods. Recent data from mid-May shows continued momentum through early-morning and evening clusters, aligning with historical baselines rather than signaling any slowdown. The 180-199 bracket at 21.9 percent captures scenarios of slightly moderated pace amid scheduled events, while lower buckets price in the low probability of unusual restraint given the platform's role in direct messaging.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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