Investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Representative Eric Swalwell remain in preliminary stages following his April 2026 resignation from Congress. The Department of Justice opened a federal probe in mid-April, joined by separate inquiries from the Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys, yet no formal charges or indictments have been filed as of mid-May. Such proceedings typically require extended review of evidence, witness statements, and prosecutorial decisions before advancing to charging. The brief remaining window through May 31 offers limited time for these steps to conclude, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% implied probability for no charges by that date. Ongoing campaign finance scrutiny adds context but shows no imminent resolution tied to criminal filings.