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Политика·Глобальные выборы

Победитель довыборов в Голуэй-Уэст?

icon for Победитель довыборов в Голуэй-Уэст?
Политика·Глобальные выборы

Победитель довыборов в Голуэй-Уэст?

Ноэль Томас 42%

Шон Кайн 31.2%

Миде Ник Фионнлаоих 9.3%

Майк Каббард 9.1%

Polymarket

$47,102 Объем

Ноэль Томас 42%

Шон Кайн 31.2%

Миде Ник Фионнлаоих 9.3%

Майк Каббард 9.1%

Polymarket

$47,102 Объем

Шейла Гаррити

$20,246 Объем

1%

Шон Кайн

$4,519 Объем

31%

Найлл Мерфи

$1,834 Объем

<1%

Миде Ник Фионнлаоих

$1,646 Объем

9%

Орла Ньюджент

$1,680 Объем

1%

Хелен Огбу

$3,933 Объем

3%

Денман Рук

$1,612 Объем

1%

Ноэль Томас

$5,057 Объем

47%

Томас Уэлби

$1,697 Объем

<1%

Майк Каббард

$2,416 Объем

10%

Марк Лохан

$2,509 Объем

4%

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).The upcoming May 22 by-election to fill the Dáil seat vacated by Catherine Connolly's election as president features a tight contest under single transferable vote rules, with Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas leading trader consensus at 47 percent amid expectations of robust local independent backing and favorable transfer flows from smaller candidates. Fine Gael's Seán Kyne follows at 31 percent, supported by established party organization and an early May Irish Times/TG4 poll showing him narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent. Lower probabilities for Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich, Labour's Helen Ogbu, and Sinn Féin's Mark Lohan reflect vote fragmentation on the left and limited candidate profile in a constituency where independents have historically performed well.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Объем
$47,102
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).The upcoming May 22 by-election to fill the Dáil seat vacated by Catherine Connolly's election as president features a tight contest under single transferable vote rules, with Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas leading trader consensus at 47 percent amid expectations of robust local independent backing and favorable transfer flows from smaller candidates. Fine Gael's Seán Kyne follows at 31 percent, supported by established party organization and an early May Irish Times/TG4 poll showing him narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent. Lower probabilities for Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich, Labour's Helen Ogbu, and Sinn Féin's Mark Lohan reflect vote fragmentation on the left and limited candidate profile in a constituency where independents have historically performed well.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Объем
$47,102
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель довыборов в Голуэй-Уэст?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ноэль Томас» с 47%, за ним следует «Шон Кайн» с 31%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 47¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель довыборов в Голуэй-Уэст?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $47.1K с момента запуска рынка Feb 26, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель довыборов в Голуэй-Уэст?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель довыборов в Голуэй-Уэст?» — «Ноэль Томас» с 47%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Шон Кайн» с 31%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель довыборов в Голуэй-Уэст?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.