Trader consensus centers on 31°C or 32°C as Ankara’s highest temperature on September 6, with implied probabilities of 44% and 42.5%, reflecting close agreement across recent ensemble forecasts. Numerical models show daytime maxima hovering near these values under southerly advection of warmer air, modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that limit further warming. Key uncertainties include the precise track of an upper-level ridge and differences between ECMWF and GFS solutions regarding afternoon wind speeds and insolation. Updated model runs and observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 6 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Анкаре 6 сентября?
31°C 44%
32°C 43%
33°C 10%
29°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
44%
32°C
43%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C или выше
2%
31°C 44%
32°C 43%
33°C 10%
29°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$5 Объем
1%
27°C
$38 Объем
2%
28°C
$34 Объем
3%
29°C
$47 Объем
6%
30°C
$626 Объем
6%
31°C
$672 Объем
44%
32°C
$1,061 Объем
43%
33°C
$409 Объем
10%
34°C
$0 Объем
6%
35°C
$0 Объем
2%
36°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 31°C or 32°C as Ankara’s highest temperature on September 6, with implied probabilities of 44% and 42.5%, reflecting close agreement across recent ensemble forecasts. Numerical models show daytime maxima hovering near these values under southerly advection of warmer air, modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that limit further warming. Key uncertainties include the precise track of an upper-level ridge and differences between ECMWF and GFS solutions regarding afternoon wind speeds and insolation. Updated model runs and observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$2,892Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 31°C or 32°C as Ankara’s highest temperature on September 6, with implied probabilities of 44% and 42.5%, reflecting close agreement across recent ensemble forecasts. Numerical models show daytime maxima hovering near these values under southerly advection of warmer air, modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that limit further warming. Key uncertainties include the precise track of an upper-level ridge and differences between ECMWF and GFS solutions regarding afternoon wind speeds and insolation. Updated model runs and observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,892Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 31°C or 32°C as Ankara’s highest temperature on September 6, with implied probabilities of 44% and 42.5%, reflecting close agreement across recent ensemble forecasts. Numerical models show daytime maxima hovering near these values under southerly advection of warmer air, modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that limit further warming. Key uncertainties include the precise track of an upper-level ridge and differences between ECMWF and GFS solutions regarding afternoon wind speeds and insolation. Updated model runs and observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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