Trader consensus on a 23°C high for Cape Town on August 12 reflects official South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus under a departing cut-off low, with partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow allowing daytime warming to that level amid typical late-winter conditions. Average August maxima near 18°C provide climatological context, yet current observations and short-range guidance support the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for this exact threshold. Stronger-than-expected onshore winds, increased cloud cover, or a slower system exit could cap temperatures below 23°C, while any upward revision in surface observations before market resolution remains the main realistic uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 12 августа?
23°C 100.0%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$39,275 Объем
$39,275 Объем
16°C или ниже
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Да
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C или выше
Нет
23°C 100.0%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$39,275 Объем
$39,275 Объем
16°C или ниже
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Да
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C или выше
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus on a 23°C high for Cape Town on August 12 reflects official South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus under a departing cut-off low, with partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow allowing daytime warming to that level amid typical late-winter conditions. Average August maxima near 18°C provide climatological context, yet current observations and short-range guidance support the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for this exact threshold. Stronger-than-expected onshore winds, increased cloud cover, or a slower system exit could cap temperatures below 23°C, while any upward revision in surface observations before market resolution remains the main realistic uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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