Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C across urban areas on August 13 under sunny periods with isolated showers, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's passage and associated subsidence that has stabilized the atmosphere and limited extreme heating relative to the record 36.8°C observed earlier in the month. Midsummer climatology for the region centers on 31–33°C highs, reinforced by model consensus showing moderate cloud cover, urban heat-island moderation, and southeasterly flow suppressing further intensification. This underpins the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied odds for 33°C as the highest temperature. Afternoon convection or minor steering adjustments could cap readings at or below forecast levels, while unexpected clear-sky conditions would be required to push toward 34°C or higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 13 августа?
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$99,083 Объем
$99,083 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$99,083 Объем
$99,083 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C across urban areas on August 13 under sunny periods with isolated showers, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's passage and associated subsidence that has stabilized the atmosphere and limited extreme heating relative to the record 36.8°C observed earlier in the month. Midsummer climatology for the region centers on 31–33°C highs, reinforced by model consensus showing moderate cloud cover, urban heat-island moderation, and southeasterly flow suppressing further intensification. This underpins the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied odds for 33°C as the highest temperature. Afternoon convection or minor steering adjustments could cap readings at or below forecast levels, while unexpected clear-sky conditions would be required to push toward 34°C or higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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