Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 15 with near-certainty because official Hong Kong Observatory observations, consistent with post-Typhoon Dolphin cooling and regional model guidance, recorded that exact maximum under partly cloudy conditions with light rain. Seasonal forecasts from the Observatory had projected normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, yet the immediate synoptic pattern after the early-month heatwave produced a modest peak around the long-term climatological average rather than the record 36.9°C seen days earlier. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these verified station data, which serve as the resolution benchmark; only an unprecedented post-release correction to the official daily maximum could alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 15 августа?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$289,174 Объем
$289,174 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$289,174 Объем
$289,174 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$6,020 Объем
No
28°C
$33,881 Объем
No
29°C
$35,010 Объем
No
30°C
$24,639 Объем
No
31°C
$46,392 Объем
Yes
32°C
$46,309 Объем
No
33°C
$38,963 Объем
No
34°C
$29,974 Объем
No
35°C
$4,094 Объем
No
36°C
$2,633 Объем
No
37°C or higher
$21,260 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 15 with near-certainty because official Hong Kong Observatory observations, consistent with post-Typhoon Dolphin cooling and regional model guidance, recorded that exact maximum under partly cloudy conditions with light rain. Seasonal forecasts from the Observatory had projected normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, yet the immediate synoptic pattern after the early-month heatwave produced a modest peak around the long-term climatological average rather than the record 36.9°C seen days earlier. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these verified station data, which serve as the resolution benchmark; only an unprecedented post-release correction to the official daily maximum could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$289,174Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 15 with near-certainty because official Hong Kong Observatory observations, consistent with post-Typhoon Dolphin cooling and regional model guidance, recorded that exact maximum under partly cloudy conditions with light rain. Seasonal forecasts from the Observatory had projected normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, yet the immediate synoptic pattern after the early-month heatwave produced a modest peak around the long-term climatological average rather than the record 36.9°C seen days earlier. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these verified station data, which serve as the resolution benchmark; only an unprecedented post-release correction to the official daily maximum could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$289,174Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 15 with near-certainty because official Hong Kong Observatory observations, consistent with post-Typhoon Dolphin cooling and regional model guidance, recorded that exact maximum under partly cloudy conditions with light rain. Seasonal forecasts from the Observatory had projected normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, yet the immediate synoptic pattern after the early-month heatwave produced a modest peak around the long-term climatological average rather than the record 36.9°C seen days earlier. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these verified station data, which serve as the resolution benchmark; only an unprecedented post-release correction to the official daily maximum could alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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