Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the main drivers keeping Los Angeles highs near seasonal normals on August 13. National Weather Service and UCLA forecasts indicate morning low clouds or patchy fog giving way to partly sunny conditions, limiting daytime heating with projected maxima of 73–80°F at coastal stations like LAX. These align with the normal high of 76°F for the date and explain why traders have concentrated 78.5% of probability in the 74–77°F bins. Recent model consensus shows minimal warming potential absent stronger offshore winds, while historical August variability remains modest due to consistent marine influence. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine the final official reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 13 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 13 августа?
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 37%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 5%
НОВОЕ
$21,184 Объем
НОВОЕ
$21,184 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F или выше
<1%
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 37%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 5%
НОВОЕ
$21,184 Объем
НОВОЕ
$21,184 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
$812 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$505 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$1,565 Объем
5%
74-75°F
$5,264 Объем
37%
76-77°F
$6,377 Объем
47%
78-79°F
$2,581 Объем
14%
80-81°F
$1,006 Объем
2%
82-83°F
$818 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$823 Объем
<1%
86-87°F
$704 Объем
<1%
88°F или выше
$729 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the main drivers keeping Los Angeles highs near seasonal normals on August 13. National Weather Service and UCLA forecasts indicate morning low clouds or patchy fog giving way to partly sunny conditions, limiting daytime heating with projected maxima of 73–80°F at coastal stations like LAX. These align with the normal high of 76°F for the date and explain why traders have concentrated 78.5% of probability in the 74–77°F bins. Recent model consensus shows minimal warming potential absent stronger offshore winds, while historical August variability remains modest due to consistent marine influence. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine the final official reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$21,184Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the main drivers keeping Los Angeles highs near seasonal normals on August 13. National Weather Service and UCLA forecasts indicate morning low clouds or patchy fog giving way to partly sunny conditions, limiting daytime heating with projected maxima of 73–80°F at coastal stations like LAX. These align with the normal high of 76°F for the date and explain why traders have concentrated 78.5% of probability in the 74–77°F bins. Recent model consensus shows minimal warming potential absent stronger offshore winds, while historical August variability remains modest due to consistent marine influence. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine the final official reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$21,184Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the main drivers keeping Los Angeles highs near seasonal normals on August 13. National Weather Service and UCLA forecasts indicate morning low clouds or patchy fog giving way to partly sunny conditions, limiting daytime heating with projected maxima of 73–80°F at coastal stations like LAX. These align with the normal high of 76°F for the date and explain why traders have concentrated 78.5% of probability in the 74–77°F bins. Recent model consensus shows minimal warming potential absent stronger offshore winds, while historical August variability remains modest due to consistent marine influence. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine the final official reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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