Trader consensus centers on 36–37°C implied probabilities as the leading outcomes for Taipei’s August 13 maximum, reflecting Central Weather Administration guidance of 27–36°C under partly cloudy skies with 40% afternoon thundershower risk. Subtropical ridge subsidence promotes strong daytime heating and urban heat island amplification in the basin, yet scattered convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak timing and intensity. Historical August baselines near 32–34°C underscore the elevated forecast, while model consensus on limited steering flow supports modest further warming potential before any showers develop. Updated CWA briefings and short-range model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could shift resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тайбэе 13 августа?
36°C 41%
37°C 33%
35°C 15%
38°C 11%
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
15%
36°C
41%
37°C
33%
38°C
11%
39°C или выше
1%
36°C 41%
37°C 33%
35°C 15%
38°C 11%
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
15%
36°C
41%
37°C
33%
38°C
11%
39°C или выше
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 36–37°C implied probabilities as the leading outcomes for Taipei’s August 13 maximum, reflecting Central Weather Administration guidance of 27–36°C under partly cloudy skies with 40% afternoon thundershower risk. Subtropical ridge subsidence promotes strong daytime heating and urban heat island amplification in the basin, yet scattered convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak timing and intensity. Historical August baselines near 32–34°C underscore the elevated forecast, while model consensus on limited steering flow supports modest further warming potential before any showers develop. Updated CWA briefings and short-range model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could shift resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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