Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on September 10 centering near 31–32°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and partly cloudy skies, aligning with late-summer climatology where daily maxima rarely exceed 33°C. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 60.5% implied probability, with 33°C close behind at 37%, while lower outcomes like 31°C remain marginal at 3%. Minor model spread in peak timing and urban heat effects introduces modest uncertainty, though no major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution. Trader consensus reflects these consensus projections from agencies tracking regional temperature trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 10 сентября?
32°C 61%
33°C 36%
31°C 3%
34°C 1.4%
$12,336 Объем
$12,336 Объем
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
61%
33°C
36%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
32°C 61%
33°C 36%
31°C 3%
34°C 1.4%
$12,336 Объем
$12,336 Объем
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
61%
33°C
36%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on September 10 centering near 31–32°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and partly cloudy skies, aligning with late-summer climatology where daily maxima rarely exceed 33°C. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 60.5% implied probability, with 33°C close behind at 37%, while lower outcomes like 31°C remain marginal at 3%. Minor model spread in peak timing and urban heat effects introduces modest uncertainty, though no major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution. Trader consensus reflects these consensus projections from agencies tracking regional temperature trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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