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icon for Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?

Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?

icon for Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?

Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?

дек. 31

дек. 31

1-100 73.8%

1k-2.5k 14.5%

>100 тыс. 7.3%

101-1k 3.0%

Polymarket

$288,844 Объем

1-100 73.8%

1k-2.5k 14.5%

>100 тыс. 7.3%

101-1k 3.0%

Polymarket

$288,844 Объем

1-100

$17,686 Объем

62%

101-1k

$40,946 Объем

3%

1k-2.5k

$10,936 Объем

20%

2,5–5 тыс.

$10,165 Объем

2%

5–10 тыс.

$11,822 Объем

1%

10k-25k

$116,724 Объем

2%

25 000–100 000

$10,837 Объем

1%

>100 тыс.

$25,301 Объем

7%

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump Gold Card program, an executive-order initiative offering expedited permanent residency for a $1 million contribution plus processing fees, faces significant implementation barriers that align with the market's 64.8% consensus on just 1-100 sales in 2026. As of spring 2026, official reports indicate minimal traction, with only one approval confirmed alongside limited applications and payments received, despite earlier administration claims of substantial revenue that markets have discounted pending finalized transactions. Delays in vetting, legal scrutiny over eligibility criteria, and slower-than-expected interest among high-net-worth applicants have constrained volume, while the 101-1k bucket at 14.8% reflects modest upside potential if processing accelerates before year-end. Trader pricing embeds these rollout frictions and historical precedents for investor-visa uptake under similar frameworks.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$288,844
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump Gold Card program, an executive-order initiative offering expedited permanent residency for a $1 million contribution plus processing fees, faces significant implementation barriers that align with the market's 64.8% consensus on just 1-100 sales in 2026. As of spring 2026, official reports indicate minimal traction, with only one approval confirmed alongside limited applications and payments received, despite earlier administration claims of substantial revenue that markets have discounted pending finalized transactions. Delays in vetting, legal scrutiny over eligibility criteria, and slower-than-expected interest among high-net-worth applicants have constrained volume, while the 101-1k bucket at 14.8% reflects modest upside potential if processing accelerates before year-end. Trader pricing embeds these rollout frictions and historical precedents for investor-visa uptake under similar frameworks.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$288,844
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «1-100» с 62%, за ним следует «1k-2.5k» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 62¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $288.8K с момента запуска рынка Nov 5, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?» — «1-100» с 62%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1k-2.5k» с 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.