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icon for Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?

Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?

icon for Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?

Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?

Да

5% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

5% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Hu Jintao, the former Chinese president born in 1942, has maintained an extremely low public profile since his last confirmed appearances in 2022–2023, including at Jiang Zemin’s funeral procession. Reports from mid-August 2026 described a sharp deterioration in his health at age 83–84, consistent with his documented frailty since the 2022 Party Congress incident. He was notably absent from the August 2026 commemoration of Jiang Zemin’s 100th birth anniversary, an event attended by other retired elders. Chinese state media has offered no recent updates or scheduled events involving him, and with only months remaining until the December 31, 2026, cutoff, trader consensus reflects this sustained pattern of minimal visibility. A verifiable public appearance, whether in-person or broadcast, remains possible only in narrow scenarios such as a controlled political appearance if his condition stabilizes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$6,248
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Hu Jintao, the former Chinese president born in 1942, has maintained an extremely low public profile since his last confirmed appearances in 2022–2023, including at Jiang Zemin’s funeral procession. Reports from mid-August 2026 described a sharp deterioration in his health at age 83–84, consistent with his documented frailty since the 2022 Party Congress incident. He was notably absent from the August 2026 commemoration of Jiang Zemin’s 100th birth anniversary, an event attended by other retired elders. Chinese state media has offered no recent updates or scheduled events involving him, and with only months remaining until the December 31, 2026, cutoff, trader consensus reflects this sustained pattern of minimal visibility. A verifiable public appearance, whether in-person or broadcast, remains possible only in narrow scenarios such as a controlled political appearance if his condition stabilizes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$6,248
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Появится ли Ху Цзиньтао публично до 31 декабря?» с 5%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 5¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 5%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 13, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?» — «Появится ли Ху Цзиньтао публично до 31 декабря?» всего с 5%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.